Stock Analysis

MITSUI-SOKO HOLDINGS' (TSE:9302) 43% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same five-year period

TSE:9302
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For many, the main point of investing in the stock market is to achieve spectacular returns. While the best companies are hard to find, but they can generate massive returns over long periods. For example, the MITSUI-SOKO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. (TSE:9302) share price is up a whopping 397% in the last half decade, a handsome return for long term holders. If that doesn't get you thinking about long term investing, we don't know what will. It's even up 4.2% in the last week.

Since the stock has added JP¥7.7b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

Check out our latest analysis for MITSUI-SOKO HOLDINGS

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During five years of share price growth, MITSUI-SOKO HOLDINGS achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 12% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 38% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
TSE:9302 Earnings Per Share Growth February 27th 2025

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on MITSUI-SOKO HOLDINGS' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, MITSUI-SOKO HOLDINGS' TSR for the last 5 years was 500%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that MITSUI-SOKO HOLDINGS has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 69% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 43% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand MITSUI-SOKO HOLDINGS better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with MITSUI-SOKO HOLDINGS .

Of course MITSUI-SOKO HOLDINGS may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Japanese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.