Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd.

TSE:9107 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥1.4t

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Valuation

Is 9107 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9107 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9107 (¥2173.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥417.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9107 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9107?

Key metric: As 9107 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9107. This is calculated by dividing 9107's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9107's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.3x
EarningsJP¥224.82b
Market CapJP¥1.41t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9107's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9107 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.9x
9104 Mitsui O.S.K. Lines
5.6x-19.1%JP¥2.0t
9101 Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha
5.9x-21.7%JP¥2.3t
9119 Iino Kaiun Kaisha
6.4xn/aJP¥122.2b
9110 NS United Kaiun Kaisha
5.9xn/aJP¥95.2b
9107 Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha
6.3x-29.3%JP¥1.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9107 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x) compared to the peer average (5.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9107's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Shipping Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9107 6.3xIndustry Avg. 10.1xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9107 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x) compared to the Asian Shipping industry average (10.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9107's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9107 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.3x
Fair PE Ratio8.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9107 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9107 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,173.50
JP¥2,094.44
-3.6%
16.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,300.00n/a9
Nov ’25JP¥2,119.00
JP¥2,094.44
-1.2%
16.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,300.00n/a9
Oct ’25JP¥2,228.50
JP¥2,062.22
-7.5%
17.2%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,300.00n/a9
Sep ’25JP¥2,138.50
JP¥2,101.25
-1.7%
20.4%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,300.00n/a8
Aug ’25JP¥2,321.50
JP¥2,295.00
-1.1%
20.2%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,300.00n/a8
Jul ’25JP¥2,500.00
JP¥2,115.71
-15.4%
18.9%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,300.00n/a7
Jun ’25JP¥2,331.50
JP¥1,982.33
-15.0%
23.2%JP¥2,533.00JP¥1,033.33n/a7
May ’25JP¥2,131.00
JP¥1,706.14
-19.9%
35.9%JP¥2,533.00JP¥766.67n/a7
Apr ’25JP¥2,003.00
JP¥1,648.52
-17.7%
36.3%JP¥2,533.33JP¥766.67n/a7
Mar ’25JP¥2,582.67
JP¥1,658.10
-35.8%
37.4%JP¥2,533.33JP¥766.67n/a7
Feb ’25JP¥2,357.00
JP¥1,513.33
-35.8%
32.2%JP¥2,400.00JP¥766.67n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥2,016.67
JP¥1,421.67
-29.5%
28.3%JP¥1,933.33JP¥766.67n/a8
Dec ’24JP¥1,763.33
JP¥1,421.67
-19.4%
28.3%JP¥1,933.33JP¥766.67n/a8
Nov ’24JP¥1,780.00
JP¥1,367.41
-23.2%
31.7%JP¥1,933.33JP¥633.33JP¥2,119.009
Oct ’24JP¥1,701.33
JP¥1,309.26
-23.0%
33.3%JP¥1,933.33JP¥633.33JP¥2,228.509
Sep ’24JP¥1,695.00
JP¥1,212.96
-28.4%
28.8%JP¥1,800.00JP¥633.33JP¥2,138.509
Aug ’24JP¥1,472.00
JP¥1,124.07
-23.6%
26.2%JP¥1,733.33JP¥633.33JP¥2,321.509
Jul ’24JP¥1,173.00
JP¥1,096.93
-6.5%
26.3%JP¥1,733.33JP¥633.33JP¥2,500.009
Jun ’24JP¥1,053.33
JP¥1,074.70
+2.0%
27.9%JP¥1,733.33JP¥633.33JP¥2,331.509
May ’24JP¥1,043.33
JP¥1,030.26
-1.3%
30.3%JP¥1,733.33JP¥533.33JP¥2,131.009
Apr ’24JP¥1,008.33
JP¥1,030.26
+2.2%
30.3%JP¥1,733.33JP¥533.33JP¥2,003.009
Mar ’24JP¥1,093.33
JP¥1,028.41
-5.9%
30.4%JP¥1,733.33JP¥533.33JP¥2,582.679
Feb ’24JP¥937.67
JP¥1,034.71
+10.3%
32.2%JP¥1,733.33JP¥533.33JP¥2,357.008
Jan ’24JP¥929.00
JP¥1,153.33
+24.1%
39.6%JP¥2,255.55JP¥533.33JP¥2,016.6710
Dec ’23JP¥863.33
JP¥1,143.33
+32.4%
40.7%JP¥2,255.55JP¥533.33JP¥1,763.3310
Nov ’23JP¥728.33
JP¥1,175.54
+61.4%
39.0%JP¥2,255.55JP¥533.33JP¥1,780.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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