The board of Seibu Holdings Inc. (TSE:9024) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ¥15.00 on the 4th of December, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. The payment will take the dividend yield to 1.2%, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Seibu Holdings
Seibu Holdings' Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. However, prior to this announcement, Seibu Holdings' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 23.6%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 34%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥8.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥30.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 14% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. In the last five years, Seibu Holdings' earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 5.9% per annum. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends.
Our Thoughts On Seibu Holdings' Dividend
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Seibu Holdings' payments are rock solid. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Seibu Holdings (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about. Is Seibu Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9024
Seibu Holdings
Engages in the urban and regional transportation, hotel and leisure, real estate, construction, and baseball team management businesses in Japan and internationally.
Low with questionable track record.