Stock Analysis

Does SoftBank Group (TSE:9984) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TSE:9984
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that SoftBank Group Corp. (TSE:9984) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for SoftBank Group

How Much Debt Does SoftBank Group Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that SoftBank Group had JP¥21t in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have JP¥5.50t in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥15t.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:9984 Debt to Equity History September 19th 2024

How Healthy Is SoftBank Group's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that SoftBank Group had liabilities of JP¥14t due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥19t due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥5.50t and JP¥2.73t worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥25t more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the JP¥12t company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, SoftBank Group would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 1.6 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.6 hit our confidence in SoftBank Group like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. The good news is that SoftBank Group improved its EBIT by 3.1% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine SoftBank Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, SoftBank Group produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 56% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

On the face of it, SoftBank Group's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that SoftBank Group's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for SoftBank Group (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.