Reported Earnings • Aug 16
First quarter 2027 earnings released: EPS: JP¥36.56 (vs JP¥37.67 in 1Q 2026) First quarter 2027 results: EPS: JP¥36.56 (down from JP¥37.67 in 1Q 2026). Revenue: JP¥98.1b (up 30% from 1Q 2026). Net income: JP¥8.92b (down 2.9% from 1Q 2026). Profit margin: 9.1% (down from 12% in 1Q 2026). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 10.0% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 13% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 48% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Major Estimate Revision • Aug 15
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2027 has improved. 2027 revenue forecast increased from JP¥371.2b to JP¥402.0b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥123 to JP¥143 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 1.2% next year vs 8.9% growth forecast for Electronic industry in Japan . Consensus price target up from JP¥2,295 to JP¥2,517. Share price rose 15% to JP¥2,751 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Aug 15
Price target increased by 9.7% to JP¥2,517 Up from JP¥2,295, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 8.5% below last closing price of JP¥2,751. Stock is up 178% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥143 for next year compared to JP¥127 last year. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 10
Now 23% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 23% to JP¥2,571. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,082, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 3.5% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 12%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 4.0% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 4.7% per annum over the same time period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 05
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 22% After last week's 22% share price gain to JP¥2,460, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Electronic industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 199% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥2,074 per share. Declared Dividend • Jul 25
Final dividend of JP¥25.00 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥25.00. Ex-date: 29th September 2026 Payment date: 7th December 2026 Dividend yield will be 2.2%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.4%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (37% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (81% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 11% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 14% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. New Risk • Jul 17
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 6.5% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.5% average weekly change). Announcement • Jun 15
Citizen and Disney Introduce First-Ever Moana Timepiece in Anticipation of the Global Film Release Citizen introduced its first-ever Disney Moana timepiece, a one-of-a-kind design inspired by the adventurous spirit, resilience and connection to nature that have made Moana a global cultural icon ahead of the highly anticipated new chapter in the franchise. Inspired by the natural light and motion of the sea, the timepiece features exclusive original dial artwork created specifically for Citizen, blending flowing wave motifs, shimmering crystal accents and luminous mother-of-pearl details designed to evoke sunlight reflecting across open water. The design continues Citizen's approach to artistic dial innovation through imaginative collaborations with Disney, bringing character-driven storytelling into collectible watchmaking through thoughtful materiality and elevated detailing. The watch is also powered by Citizen's proprietary Eco-Drive technology, which is celebrating 50 years of Innovation in 2026 and uses any light source, whether artificial or natural, to power a watch. A 36mm gold-tone stainless steel case is paired with a rich teal leather strap inspired by oceanic tones, while a three-hand movement and date display balance everyday versatility with elevated craftsmanship. The limited-edition release is presented in a premium collectible box set inspired by the world of Moana, designed to extend the storytelling experience beyond the timepiece itself. Each set also includes an exclusive commemorative pin as a keepsake for Disney fans and collectors alike. Major Estimate Revision • Jun 04
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2027 has improved. 2027 revenue forecast increased from JP¥353.6b to JP¥367.4b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥104 to JP¥124 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 7.5% next year vs 5.1% growth forecast for Electronic industry in Japan . Consensus price target up from JP¥1,725 to JP¥1,978. Share price was steady at JP¥2,256 over the past week. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 03
Now 22% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 34% to JP¥2,353. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,929, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 3.5% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 12%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 4.0% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 3.7% per annum over the same time period. Reported Earnings • May 14
Full year 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2026 results: EPS: JP¥127 (up from JP¥97.91 in FY 2025). Revenue: JP¥346.8b (up 9.4% from FY 2025). Net income: JP¥31.1b (up 30% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 9.0% (up from 7.5% in FY 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 32%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.9% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 12% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 41% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Announcement • May 13
Citizen Watch Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2026 Citizen Watch Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2026. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 12
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥2,081, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21x. Average forward P/E is 18x in the Electronic industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 193% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥1,323 per share. Price Target Changed • May 11
Price target increased by 13% to JP¥1,725 Up from JP¥1,533, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 14% below last closing price of JP¥2,010. Stock is up 136% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥96.68 for next year compared to JP¥97.91 last year. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 06
Now 22% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 37% to JP¥1,797. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,472, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 2.9% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 8.5%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 3.0% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 3.3% per annum over the same time period. Upcoming Dividend • Mar 23
Upcoming dividend of JP¥23.50 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 March 2026. Payment date: 26 June 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 47% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.6%). Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 18
Now 24% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 36% to JP¥1,733. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,399, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 2.9% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 8.5%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.9% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 2.8% per annum over the same time period. Price Target Changed • Mar 10
Price target increased by 16% to JP¥1,475 Up from JP¥1,267, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 12% below last closing price of JP¥1,669. Stock is up 76% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥95.23 for next year compared to JP¥97.91 last year. Price Target Changed • Mar 07
Price target increased by 10% to JP¥1,325 Up from JP¥1,200, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 24% below last closing price of JP¥1,752. Stock is up 86% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥92.98 for next year compared to JP¥97.91 last year. New Risk • Mar 04
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 5.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.9% average weekly change). New Risk • Feb 14
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.04% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.04% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Reported Earnings • Feb 14
Third quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Third quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥42.39 (up from JP¥40.71 in 3Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥97.9b (up 15% from 3Q 2025). Net income: JP¥10.3b (up 4.2% from 3Q 2025). Profit margin: 11% (down from 12% in 3Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 9.3%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 152%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 9% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 29% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 13
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20% After last week's 20% share price gain to JP¥1,684, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Electronic industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 141% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥1,159 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 30
Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 27% to JP¥1,360. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,129, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 2.7% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 8.7%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.6% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 0.7% per annum over the same time period. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 14
Now 22% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 29% to JP¥1,363. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,121, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 2.7% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 8.7%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.5% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 0.2% per annum over the same time period. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Dec 08
Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 33% to JP¥1,342. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,110, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 2.7% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 8.7%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.5% per annum. Earnings are forecast to decline by 0.4% per annum over the same time period. Declared Dividend • Dec 06
First half dividend of JP¥23.50 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥23.50. Ex-date: 30th March 2026 Payment date: 26th June 2026 Dividend yield will be 3.6%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.4%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (48% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (74% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 11% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 1.3% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 47% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range. Price Target Changed • Dec 03
Price target increased by 10% to JP¥1,092 Up from JP¥988, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 16% below last closing price of JP¥1,292. Stock is up 47% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥87.45 for next year compared to JP¥97.91 last year. Reported Earnings • Nov 14
Second quarter 2026 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations Second quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥11.04 (down from JP¥15.32 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥84.0b (up 4.1% from 2Q 2025). Net income: JP¥2.69b (down 28% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 3.2% (down from 4.6% in 2Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 7.7%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.5% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 9% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 28% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Announcement • Oct 02
Citizen Watch Co., Ltd.(TSE:7762) dropped from Nikkei 225 Index Citizen Watch Co., Ltd. has been dropped from the Nikkei 225 Index. Upcoming Dividend • Sep 22
Upcoming dividend of JP¥23.50 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 September 2025. Payment date: 05 December 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 45% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 4.6%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.7%). Reported Earnings • Aug 14
First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥37.67 (vs JP¥35.04 in 1Q 2025) First quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥37.67 (up from JP¥35.04 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥75.3b (flat on 1Q 2025). Net income: JP¥9.19b (up 7.5% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 12% (in line with 1Q 2025). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.2% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 9% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Declared Dividend • Jul 09
Final dividend increased to JP¥23.50 Dividend of JP¥23.50 is 4.4% higher than last year. Ex-date: 29th September 2025 Payment date: 5th December 2025 Dividend yield will be 5.4%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.4%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (46% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (71% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 11% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 16% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 49% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 03
Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 6.4% to JP¥852. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥709, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 3.9% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 9.9%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.8% per annum. Earnings are forecast to decline by 5.6% per annum over the same time period. Reported Earnings • May 15
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations Full year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥97.91 (up from JP¥93.60 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥316.9b (up 1.3% from FY 2024). Net income: JP¥23.9b (up 4.0% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 7.5% (up from 7.3% in FY 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 10%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.3% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 10% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 17% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Announcement • May 13
Citizen Watch Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2025 Citizen Watch Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2025. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 07
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to JP¥748, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Electronic industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 82% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥931 per share. Upcoming Dividend • Mar 21
Upcoming dividend of JP¥22.50 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 March 2025. Payment date: 26 June 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 42% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 4.8%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.7%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.7%). Reported Earnings • Feb 13
Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥40.71 (up from JP¥29.95 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥85.2b (flat on 3Q 2024). Net income: JP¥9.93b (up 36% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 12% (up from 8.5% in 3Q 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 62%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.2% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 21% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Declared Dividend • Dec 06
First half dividend of JP¥22.50 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥22.50. Ex-date: 28th March 2025 Payment date: 26th June 2025 Dividend yield will be 5.1%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.4%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (47% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (73% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 13% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 1.3% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 47% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range. Reported Earnings • Nov 13
Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥15.32 (down from JP¥29.15 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥80.6b (flat on 2Q 2024). Net income: JP¥3.74b (down 47% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.6% (down from 8.9% in 2Q 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 4.7%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.4% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 24% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 21% per year. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 11
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 11% to JP¥947. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,194, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.0% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.6% per annum. Earnings are forecast to decline by 3.8% per annum over the same time period. Upcoming Dividend • Sep 20
Upcoming dividend of JP¥22.50 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 September 2024. Payment date: 05 December 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 39% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 4.8%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.5%). Reported Earnings • Aug 18
First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations First quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥35.04 (up from JP¥25.16 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥75.9b (up 4.4% from 1Q 2024). Net income: JP¥8.54b (up 36% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 11% (up from 8.6% in 1Q 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 5.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 109%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.1% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 44% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 27% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 05
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 22% After last week's 22% share price decline to JP¥797, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Electronic industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 107% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥1,212 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 02
Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 8.0% to JP¥935. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,214, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 11% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.1% per annum. Earnings are forecast to decline by 0.8% per annum over the same time period. Declared Dividend • Jul 11
Final dividend increased to JP¥22.50 Dividend of JP¥22.50 is 13% higher than last year. Ex-date: 27th September 2024 Payment date: 5th December 2024 Dividend yield will be 3.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.4%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (43% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (66% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 16% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to remain steady over the next 3 years, which should provide adequate earnings cover for the dividend. New Risk • Jun 26
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.05% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.05% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Board Change • Jun 20
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there are only 3 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 3 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Outside Director Katsuhiko Yoshida was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • May 16
Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥93.60 (up from JP¥75.25 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥312.8b (up 3.8% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥23.0b (up 5.1% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 7.3% (up from 7.2% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 8.8%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.1% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 64% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 34% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Major Estimate Revision • May 15
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 19% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has improved. 2025 revenue forecast increased from JP¥303.7b to JP¥308.3b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥77.32 to JP¥91.70 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 2.9% next year vs 12% growth forecast for Electronic industry in Japan . Consensus price target of JP¥964 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at JP¥1,011 over the past week. Announcement • May 15
Citizen Watch Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2024 Citizen Watch Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2024. Announcement • Mar 30
Citizen Watch Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on May 13, 2024 Citizen Watch Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on May 13, 2024 Price Target Changed • Mar 29
Price target increased by 13% to JP¥964 Up from JP¥850, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥991. Stock is up 27% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥85.23 for next year compared to JP¥75.25 last year. Upcoming Dividend • Mar 21
Upcoming dividend of JP¥20.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 March 2024. Payment date: 01 July 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 60% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 4.0%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.2%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.4%). Reported Earnings • Feb 14
Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥29.95 (up from JP¥24.12 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥86.0b (up 4.2% from 3Q 2023). Net income: JP¥7.30b (up 3.5% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 8.5% (in line with 3Q 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 7.3%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 78%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 87% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 38% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Nov 27
Citizen Watch Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Feb 13, 2024 Citizen Watch Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Feb 13, 2024 Reported Earnings • Nov 15
Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥29.15 (up from JP¥18.42 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥80.2b (up 5.1% from 2Q 2023). Net income: JP¥7.11b (up 32% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 8.9% (up from 7.1% in 2Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 67%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.1% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 100% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 46% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. New Risk • Nov 14
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.07% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.07% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (dividend per share is over 487x cash flows per share). Buying Opportunity • Nov 08
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 7.7%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,113, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 13% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.8% per annum. Earnings is forecast to decline by 0.07% per annum over the same time period. New Risk • Oct 24
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.07% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.07% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (dividend per share is over 487x cash flows per share). Buying Opportunity • Oct 19
Now 21% undervalued The stock has been flat over the last 90 days. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,109, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 13% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.8% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 0.09% per annum over the same time period. Buying Opportunity • Oct 04
Now 22% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 1.1%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,146, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 13% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.8% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 0.008% per annum over the same time period.