Citizen Watch Co., Ltd.

TSE:7762 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥218.3b

Citizen Watch Valuation

Is 7762 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7762 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7762 (¥902) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1173.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7762 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7762?

Key metric: As 7762 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7762. This is calculated by dividing 7762's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7762's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.1x
EarningsJP¥21.85b
Market CapJP¥218.26b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7762's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7762 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.8x
7734 Riken Keiki
23.5x17.9%JP¥172.3b
6744 Nohmi Bosai
17.3x7.2%JP¥169.7b
268A Rigaku Holdings
20.8xn/aJP¥247.3b
7732 Topcon
37.7x30.2%JP¥163.6b
7762 Citizen Watch
10.1x-0.4%JP¥218.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7762 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the peer average (24.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7762's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Electronic Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
7762 10.1xIndustry Avg. 13.3xNo. of Companies21PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7762 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the JP Electronic industry average (13.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7762's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7762 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.1x
Fair PE Ratio11.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7762 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7762 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥902.00
JP¥971.67
+7.7%
15.5%JP¥1,200.00JP¥800.00n/a6
Nov ’25JP¥908.00
JP¥971.67
+7.0%
15.5%JP¥1,200.00JP¥800.00n/a6
Oct ’25JP¥919.00
JP¥988.33
+7.5%
18.0%JP¥1,300.00JP¥800.00n/a6
Sep ’25JP¥940.00
JP¥988.33
+5.1%
18.0%JP¥1,300.00JP¥800.00n/a6
Aug ’25JP¥996.00
JP¥1,014.00
+1.8%
20.5%JP¥1,300.00JP¥750.00n/a5
Jul ’25JP¥1,059.00
JP¥995.00
-6.0%
19.5%JP¥1,300.00JP¥750.00n/a6
Jun ’25JP¥1,017.00
JP¥974.00
-4.2%
21.2%JP¥1,300.00JP¥750.00n/a5
May ’25JP¥1,024.00
JP¥964.00
-5.9%
20.8%JP¥1,300.00JP¥750.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥1,041.00
JP¥964.00
-7.4%
20.8%JP¥1,300.00JP¥750.00n/a5
Mar ’25JP¥1,033.00
JP¥874.00
-15.4%
12.6%JP¥1,070.00JP¥750.00n/a5
Feb ’25JP¥945.00
JP¥840.00
-11.1%
9.5%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a5
Jan ’25JP¥841.00
JP¥850.00
+1.1%
9.0%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a6
Dec ’24JP¥865.00
JP¥841.67
-2.7%
8.7%JP¥950.00JP¥750.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥882.00
JP¥841.67
-4.6%
9.4%JP¥980.00JP¥750.00JP¥908.006
Oct ’24JP¥920.00
JP¥834.29
-9.3%
11.3%JP¥980.00JP¥690.00JP¥919.007
Sep ’24JP¥915.00
JP¥828.57
-9.4%
10.4%JP¥940.00JP¥690.00JP¥940.007
Aug ’24JP¥932.00
JP¥814.29
-12.6%
10.0%JP¥940.00JP¥690.00JP¥996.007
Jul ’24JP¥866.00
JP¥800.00
-7.6%
12.3%JP¥940.00JP¥650.00JP¥1,059.007
Jun ’24JP¥877.00
JP¥757.14
-13.7%
13.6%JP¥940.00JP¥640.00JP¥1,017.007
May ’24JP¥749.00
JP¥737.14
-1.6%
10.2%JP¥850.00JP¥640.00JP¥1,024.007
Apr ’24JP¥778.00
JP¥671.43
-13.7%
21.3%JP¥850.00JP¥480.00JP¥1,041.007
Mar ’24JP¥839.00
JP¥604.29
-28.0%
19.4%JP¥850.00JP¥480.00JP¥1,033.007
Feb ’24JP¥620.00
JP¥572.86
-7.6%
11.4%JP¥650.00JP¥480.00JP¥945.007
Jan ’24JP¥593.00
JP¥597.14
+0.7%
9.6%JP¥650.00JP¥480.00JP¥841.007
Dec ’23JP¥586.00
JP¥597.14
+1.9%
9.6%JP¥650.00JP¥480.00JP¥865.007
Nov ’23JP¥635.00
JP¥594.29
-6.4%
12.7%JP¥660.00JP¥460.00JP¥882.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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