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Hamamatsu Photonics K.K (TSE:6965) sheds JP¥17b, company earnings and investor returns have been trending downwards for past three years
For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. (TSE:6965) shareholders, since the share price is down 43% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 52%. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 39% in the last year. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 12% in thirty days. Importantly, this could be a market reaction to the recently released financial results. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.
After losing 3.2% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
Check out our latest analysis for Hamamatsu Photonics K.K
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the three years that the share price fell, Hamamatsu Photonics K.K's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 11% each year. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 17% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
This free interactive report on Hamamatsu Photonics K.K's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Hamamatsu Photonics K.K, it has a TSR of -40% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
Hamamatsu Photonics K.K shareholders are down 38% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 4.3%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hamamatsu Photonics K.K that you should be aware of.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Japanese exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hamamatsu Photonics K.K might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6965
Hamamatsu Photonics K.K
Manufactures and sells photomultiplier tubes, imaging devices, light sources, opto-semiconductors, and imaging and analyzing systems in Japan and internationally.