Keyence Corporation

TSE:6861 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥18.1t

Keyence Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Keyence is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.1% and 9.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.4% in 3 years.

Key information

9.1%

Earnings growth rate

9.24%

EPS growth rate

Electronic earnings growth15.4%
Revenue growth rate9.8%
Future return on equity14.41%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated07 Jul 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article Apr 28

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Keyence Corporation (TSE:6861) After Its Full-Year Report

As you might know, Keyence Corporation ( TSE:6861 ) just kicked off its latest yearly results with some very strong...
Analysis Article Apr 25

Does Keyence (TSE:6861) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Analysis Article Feb 02

Keyence (TSE:6861) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥275.00

The board of Keyence Corporation ( TSE:6861 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥275.00 per share on the...
Analysis Article Jan 31

Keyence Corporation Just Recorded A 9.8% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Keyence Corporation ( TSE:6861 ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 5.1% to...
Analysis Article Jan 03

Keyence Corporation's (TSE:6861) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 33.6x Keyence Corporation ( TSE:6861 ) may be sending very bearish signals...
Analysis Article Nov 27

Keyence's (TSE:6861) Dividend Will Be ¥275.00

Keyence Corporation ( TSE:6861 ) will pay a dividend of ¥275.00 on the 16th of June. This takes the annual payment to...
Analysis Article Nov 01

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Keyence Corporation (TSE:6861) After Its Half-Year Results

Shareholders might have noticed that Keyence Corporation ( TSE:6861 ) filed its interim result this time last week. The...
Analysis Article Aug 19

The Returns At Keyence (TSE:6861) Aren't Growing

TSE:6861 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Keyence's Fair Values from the Community and select yours What trends...
Analysis Article Aug 01

Analysts Are Updating Their Keyence Corporation (TSE:6861) Estimates After Its First-Quarter Results

Shareholders might have noticed that Keyence Corporation ( TSE:6861 ) filed its first-quarter result this time last...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:6861 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
3/31/20291,644,824630,900556,099574,06814
3/31/20281,493,192568,353505,970526,62216
3/31/20271,354,802514,078439,829464,75815
3/20/20261,169,289445,185402,309430,680N/A
12/20/20251,118,560418,058N/AN/AN/A
9/20/20251,088,895408,895378,131396,783N/A
6/20/20251,072,998397,238N/AN/AN/A
3/20/20251,059,145398,656395,180409,522N/A
12/20/20241,035,289394,981N/AN/AN/A
9/20/20241,016,758380,321384,952398,885N/A
6/20/2024992,237378,044N/AN/AN/A
3/20/2024967,288369,642375,424387,916N/A
12/20/2023948,993361,367N/AN/AN/A
9/20/2023944,502361,363324,662364,541N/A
6/20/2023952,689368,472N/AN/AN/A
3/20/2023922,422362,963263,283302,628N/A
12/20/2022890,460352,977N/AN/AN/A
9/20/2022843,956342,217275,587283,705N/A
6/20/2022777,218315,415N/AN/AN/A
3/20/2022755,174303,360265,314271,476N/A
12/20/2021706,663283,331N/AN/AN/A
9/20/2021654,597254,750213,905219,413N/A
6/20/2021598,121228,351N/AN/AN/A
3/20/2021538,134197,289188,294192,652N/A
12/20/2020517,252182,676N/AN/AN/A
9/20/2020513,619183,856191,979198,021N/A
6/20/2020527,147188,174N/AN/AN/A
3/20/2020551,843198,124195,191203,434N/A
12/20/2019557,905204,212N/AN/AN/A
9/20/2019570,172211,011N/A216,633N/A
6/20/2019578,554216,966N/AN/AN/A
3/20/2019587,095226,147N/A209,380N/A
12/20/2018585,836227,969N/AN/AN/A
9/20/2018570,296223,744N/A199,040N/A
6/20/2018550,461218,779N/AN/AN/A
3/20/2018526,847210,595N/A202,934N/A
3/20/2017421,796160,907N/A162,213N/A
6/20/2016385,408129,900N/A84,824N/A
3/20/2016379,282137,166N/A106,483N/A
12/20/2015282,087105,030N/AN/AN/A
9/20/2015363,478132,214N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 6861's forecast earnings growth (9.1% per year) is above the savings rate (0.8%).

Earnings vs Market: 6861's earnings (9.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the JP market (10% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 6861's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 6861's revenue (9.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the JP market (6.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 6861's revenue (9.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 6861's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.4%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/09 08:54
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/09 00:00
Earnings2026/03/20
Annual Earnings2026/03/20

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Keyence Corporation is covered by 25 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jay HuangBernstein
Kenjin HottaBofA Global Research
Graeme McDonaldCitigroup Inc