Oki Electric Industry Co., Ltd. (TSE:6703) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 55%
Oki Electric Industry Co., Ltd. (TSE:6703) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 55% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 21% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Oki Electric Industry may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 21x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
We've discovered 4 warning signs about Oki Electric Industry. View them for free.Oki Electric Industry could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Oki Electric Industry
Is There Any Growth For Oki Electric Industry?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Oki Electric Industry would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 51% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 504% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 7.4% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 9.7%.
With this information, we are not surprised that Oki Electric Industry is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Despite Oki Electric Industry's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Oki Electric Industry's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Oki Electric Industry is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.