Stock Analysis

While shareholders of FTGroup (TSE:2763) are in the red over the last year, underlying earnings have actually grown

FTGroup Co., Ltd. (TSE:2763) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 11% in the last week. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last year have been less than pleasing. In fact, the price has declined 13% in a year, falling short of the returns you could get by investing in an index fund.

While the last year has been tough for FTGroup shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the FTGroup share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 58%. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.

It's fair to say that the share price does not seem to be reflecting the EPS growth. So it's easy to justify a look at some other metrics.

We don't see any weakness in the FTGroup's dividend so the steady payout can't really explain the share price drop. In fact, it seems more likely that the revenue fall of 4.7% in the last year is the worry. So it seems likely that the weak revenue is making the market more cautious about the stock.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSE:2763 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 15th 2025

Take a more thorough look at FTGroup's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, FTGroup's TSR for the last 1 year was -9.0%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that FTGroup shareholders are down 9.0% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 6.9%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 2% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. Keeping this in mind, a solid next step might be to take a look at FTGroup's dividend track record. This free interactive graph is a great place to start.

Of course FTGroup may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Japanese exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:2763

FTGroup

Engages in the network infrastructure business in Japan.

Flawless balance sheet 6 star dividend payer.

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