Stock Analysis

KEL (TYO:6919) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that KEL Corporation (TYO:6919) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for KEL

What Is KEL's Debt?

As you can see below, KEL had JP¥450.0m of debt at September 2020, down from JP¥470.0m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥4.16b in cash, so it actually has JP¥3.71b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
JASDAQ:6919 Debt to Equity History December 16th 2020

How Strong Is KEL's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that KEL had liabilities of JP¥2.46b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥495.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥4.16b in cash and JP¥3.25b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥4.45b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus strongly suggests that KEL has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). On this basis we think its balance sheet is strong like a sleek panther or even a proud lion. Simply put, the fact that KEL has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

Another good sign is that KEL has been able to increase its EBIT by 28% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is KEL's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While KEL has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, KEL recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 97% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case KEL has JP¥3.71b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 97% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in JP¥1.0b. At the end of the day we're not concerned about KEL's debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for KEL you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KEL might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

About TSE:6919

KEL

Engages in the manufacture and sale of industrial connectors in Japan.

Flawless balance sheet with slight risk.

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