When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider SecondXight Analytica, Inc. (TSE:5028) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 16.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
For example, consider that SecondXight Analytica's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for SecondXight Analytica
Is There Enough Growth For SecondXight Analytica?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, SecondXight Analytica would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 107% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 9.9% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why SecondXight Analytica is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that SecondXight Analytica maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for SecondXight Analytica you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:5028
SecondXight Analytica
Provides analytics consulting services and AI products based on machine learning and deep learning in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.
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