Otsuka Corporation

TSE:4768 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥1.4t

Otsuka Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Otsuka is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.8% and 4.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 6.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.9% in 3 years.

Key information

6.8%

Earnings growth rate

6.9%

EPS growth rate

IT earnings growth11.6%
Revenue growth rate4.9%
Future return on equity13.9%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated16 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Results: Otsuka Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Nov 04
Results: Otsuka Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Otsuka Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Aug 05
Otsuka Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Recent updates

Is Otsuka (TSE:4768) Using Too Much Debt?

Dec 18
Is Otsuka (TSE:4768) Using Too Much Debt?

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Otsuka Corporation (TSE:4768)

Dec 04
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Otsuka Corporation (TSE:4768)

Results: Otsuka Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Nov 04
Results: Otsuka Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Otsuka Corporation's (TSE:4768) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Oct 29
Otsuka Corporation's (TSE:4768) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Otsuka (TSE:4768) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Oct 15
Otsuka (TSE:4768) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Does Otsuka (TSE:4768) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Sep 16
Does Otsuka (TSE:4768) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Does Otsuka (TSE:4768) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Sep 01
Does Otsuka (TSE:4768) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Otsuka Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Aug 05
Otsuka Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Return Trends At Otsuka (TSE:4768) Aren't Appealing

Jul 16
Return Trends At Otsuka (TSE:4768) Aren't Appealing

Otsuka Corporation's (TSE:4768) Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Jul 03
Otsuka Corporation's (TSE:4768) Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Otsuka Corporation (TSE:4768)

Jun 20
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Otsuka Corporation (TSE:4768)

Otsuka (TSE:4768) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Jun 03
Otsuka (TSE:4768) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Otsuka's (TSE:4768) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

Apr 03
Otsuka's (TSE:4768) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

Do Otsuka's (TSE:4768) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Mar 28
Do Otsuka's (TSE:4768) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Otsuka Corporation (TSE:4768)

Mar 12
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Otsuka Corporation (TSE:4768)

Estimating The Fair Value Of Otsuka Corporation (TSE:4768)

Feb 28
Estimating The Fair Value Of Otsuka Corporation (TSE:4768)

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:4768 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20261,207,93458,81961,22770,22711
12/31/20251,217,54658,98054,48161,11911
12/31/20241,089,84350,86548,90663,03311
9/30/20241,059,57450,94433,17143,696N/A
6/30/20241,026,03648,96159,62668,379N/A
3/31/20241,001,42547,53658,54068,096N/A
12/31/2023977,37047,44861,30371,649N/A
9/30/2023958,88143,41853,34262,611N/A
6/30/2023936,74242,59143,70253,351N/A
3/31/2023893,56241,09432,46040,830N/A
12/31/2022861,02240,02222,11929,196N/A
9/30/2022845,81439,57022,24829,857N/A
6/30/2022830,60539,11822,37630,518N/A
3/31/2022822,61338,96040,84551,573N/A
12/31/2021851,89439,92746,99157,873N/A
9/30/2021860,95041,05243,69454,473N/A
6/30/2021870,00542,17740,39751,072N/A
3/31/2021851,34439,91332,64041,280N/A
12/31/2020836,32339,30923,63332,496N/A
9/30/2020854,07141,30743,05251,816N/A
6/30/2020869,32540,76445,03053,891N/A
3/31/2020892,18444,33744,07452,682N/A
12/31/2019886,53643,49740,90348,762N/A
9/30/2019860,84442,00531,78438,938N/A
6/30/2019820,16238,33230,44237,414N/A
3/31/2019787,32735,57932,62739,711N/A
12/31/2018759,87133,60130,34638,646N/A
9/30/2018740,76331,98528,35036,932N/A
6/30/2018723,44431,810N/A32,286N/A
3/31/2018702,11331,579N/A32,486N/A
12/31/2017691,16631,560N/A36,153N/A
9/30/2017677,20130,372N/A36,264N/A
6/30/2017662,49329,257N/A36,264N/A
3/31/2017652,56528,224N/A32,218N/A
12/31/2016643,41726,675N/A23,932N/A
9/30/2016638,15225,690N/A24,269N/A
6/30/2016629,62125,015N/A26,972N/A
3/31/2016620,76424,485N/A28,613N/A
12/31/2015609,04523,705N/A27,621N/A
9/30/2015596,19323,729N/A31,311N/A
6/30/2015591,28823,088N/A28,200N/A
3/31/2015588,28321,663N/A27,667N/A
12/31/2014605,76623,455N/A34,130N/A
9/30/2014613,89923,333N/A28,173N/A
6/30/2014612,38324,098N/A27,305N/A
3/31/2014600,84224,315N/A26,326N/A
12/31/2013564,59520,271N/A18,780N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4768's forecast earnings growth (6.8% per year) is above the savings rate (0.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 4768's earnings (6.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the JP market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 4768's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 4768's revenue (4.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the JP market (4.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 4768's revenue (4.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 4768's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 10:48
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Otsuka Corporation is covered by 26 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yoshitsugu SasakiAizawa Securities Co. Ltd.
Yuki KanekoBofA Global Research
Mitsunobu TsuruoCitigroup Inc