Stock Analysis

Revenues Tell The Story For freee K.K. (TSE:4478) As Its Stock Soars 29%

freee K.K. (TSE:4478) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 6.5% over the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in Japan's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may consider freee K.K as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for freee K.K

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4478 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 1st 2024
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What Does freee K.K's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

freee K.K certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think freee K.K's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

freee K.K's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 148% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 25% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 13% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that freee K.K's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in freee K.K have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look into freee K.K shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for freee K.K that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of freee K.K's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if freee K.K might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:4478

freee K.K

Engages in the provision of cloud-based accounting and HR software solutions in Japan.

High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.

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