Nomura Research Institute Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Nomura Research Institute is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 25.4% and 5.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 26.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 26.6% in 3 years.
Key information
25.4%
Earnings growth rate
26.25%
EPS growth rate
| IT earnings growth | 11.7% |
| Revenue growth rate | 5.5% |
| Future return on equity | 26.57% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 01 Aug 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • Aug 03
The Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. (TSE:4307) First-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
Last week, you might have seen that Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. ( TSE:4307 ) released its quarterly result to the...Analysis Article • Jan 31
Analysts Are Updating Their Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. (TSE:4307) Estimates After Its Third-Quarter Results
There's been a major selloff in Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. ( TSE:4307 ) shares in the week since it released its...Analysis Article • Nov 02
Analysts Are Updating Their Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. (TSE:4307) Estimates After Its Interim Results
Investors in Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. ( TSE:4307 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 4.0% to close at JP¥6,030...Recent updates
Analysis Article • Aug 03
The Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. (TSE:4307) First-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
Last week, you might have seen that Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. ( TSE:4307 ) released its quarterly result to the...
Narrative Update • Jun 23
4307: Share Buybacks And Higher Dividend Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Nomura Research Institute slightly to ¥5,675 from ¥5,730, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, modest revenue growth expectations, a steady profit margin profile, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Nomura Research Institute has scheduled a board meeting on April 24, 2026 to consider the purchase of treasury shares, according to a company announcement.Narrative Update • Jun 06
4307: Share Buyback And Dividend Framework Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have made a small upward tweak to Nomura Research Institute's fair value estimate, lifting the price target from ¥5,703 to ¥5,730, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News Nomura Research Institute is running a ¥70b share buyback program, with recent reports indicating purchases of 13.8 million shares in May as part of an effort to return capital to shareholders and adjust its share base (source: recent news).Narrative Update • May 19
4307: Share Repurchase Program Will Support Upside Despite Goodwill Impairment
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target on Nomura Research Institute to about ¥5,703 from roughly ¥5,730. This reflects updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E.Narrative Update • May 05
4307: Share Repurchase Plan And Impairment Reset Will Support Further Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Nomura Research Institute slightly higher, moving it from ¥5,690 to ¥5,730, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase plan covering up to 21,000,000 shares, or 3.66% of outstanding shares, with a total purchase amount of ¥70,000 million.Analysis Article • May 01
Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Nomura Research Institute's (TSE:4307) Soft Earnings
The most recent earnings report from Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. ( TSE:4307 ) was disappointing for shareholders...Narrative Update • Apr 20
4307: Earnings Guidance And Planned Merger Will Support Further Upside Potential
Analysts keep their ¥5,690 price target for Nomura Research Institute broadly intact, citing only minor model updates to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions rather than any major shift in their overall view. What's in the News Nomura Research Institute issued consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending 31 March 2026, with expected revenue of ¥810,000 million, operating profit of ¥150,000 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥104,000 million and basic earnings per share of ¥181.51 (company guidance).Narrative Update • Apr 05
4307: Earnings Guidance And Planned Merger Are Expected To Support Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Nomura Research Institute from ¥5,790 to ¥5,690, reflecting slightly lower fair value and modest tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Issued consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending 31 March 2026, with expected revenue of ¥810,000m, operating profit of ¥150,000m, profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥104,000m and basic EPS of ¥181.51 (company guidance).Narrative Update • Mar 21
4307: Earnings Guidance And Merger Plan Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Nomura Research Institute from ¥6,160 to ¥5,790. This reflects slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples in their updated models.Narrative Update • Mar 06
4307: Financial Platform Services Will Support Future Upside As Risk Assumptions Rise
Analysts now set their price target for Nomura Research Institute at ¥6,160, down from ¥6,530, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly softer revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin, a higher discount rate, and a reduced future P/E outlook. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised from ¥6,530 to ¥6,160, indicating a slightly lower central value estimate.Narrative Update • Feb 20
4307: Financial Platform Services Will Drive Future Upside As Risk Assumptions Tighten
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target on Nomura Research Institute to ¥6,530 from ¥6,563. This reflects minor tweaks to assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations.Analysis Article • Feb 13
Nomura Research Institute, Ltd.'s (TSE:4307) 32% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Earnings
The Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. ( TSE:4307 ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...Narrative Update • Feb 05
4307: Financial Platform Services Will Support Future Upside As Industrial IT Recovers
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Nomura Research Institute slightly to ¥6,563 from ¥6,596, reflecting small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: trimmed slightly to ¥6,563 from ¥6,596.Analysis Article • Jan 31
Analysts Are Updating Their Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. (TSE:4307) Estimates After Its Third-Quarter Results
There's been a major selloff in Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. ( TSE:4307 ) shares in the week since it released its...Analysis Article • Jan 29
Nomura Research Institute's (TSE:4307) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's
Nomura Research Institute, Ltd.'s ( TSE:4307 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period...Narrative Update • Jan 22
4307: Financial Platform Services Will Drive Future Upside As Industrial IT Recovers
Analysts have nudged up their fair value estimate for Nomura Research Institute to ¥6,596 from ¥6,550, citing recent Street research that points to steadier growth in financial platform services and early signs of recovery in industrial IT, which supports a slightly higher future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the upgrade to Neutral with a ¥6,500 price target as support for the view that current valuation is more in line with the company’s earnings power.Analysis Article • Jan 14
Nomura Research Institute (TSE:4307) Knows How To Allocate Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Narrative Update • Jan 07
4307: Financial Platforms And Early Industrial IT Recovery Will Shape A Balanced Outlook
The analyst price target for Nomura Research Institute has been raised by ¥500 to ¥6,500, with analysts pointing to steadier financial platform services and early signs of recovery in industrial IT as key supports for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Analysts are recalibrating their views on Nomura Research Institute as they weigh steady progress in financial platform services against more tentative improvements in industrial IT.Analysis Article • Dec 30
Investors Appear Satisfied With Nomura Research Institute, Ltd.'s (TSE:4307) Prospects
Nomura Research Institute, Ltd.'s ( TSE:4307 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 33.8x might make it look like a...Narrative Update • Dec 19
4307: Financial Platforms And Industrial IT Recovery Will Drive A Balanced Forward Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Nomura Research Institute to ¥6,550 from ¥6,579, citing strengthening growth in financial platform services and early signs of recovery in industrial IT that support slightly higher profitability and a sustained premium valuation multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to a more constructive outlook on Nomura Research Institute, driven by improving demand trends and a clearer path to sustainable earnings growth supporting the stock’s premium valuation.Narrative Update • Dec 05
4307: Financial Platforms And Industrial IT Recovery Will Shape A Measured Forward Outlook
The analyst price target for Nomura Research Institute has been raised from ¥6,335 to approximately ¥6,579, as analysts point to improving financial platform service growth and a recovering industrial IT segment to justify slightly higher long term growth, margins, and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent coverage updates highlight a more balanced stance on Nomura Research Institute, with analysts acknowledging both improving fundamentals and lingering execution risks.Analysis Article • Nov 30
Nomura Research Institute (TSE:4307) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
Nomura Research Institute, Ltd.'s ( TSE:4307 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period...Analysis Article • Nov 26
These 4 Measures Indicate That Nomura Research Institute (TSE:4307) Is Using Debt Safely
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Narrative Update • Nov 21
4307: Financial Platform Momentum And Industrial IT Recovery Will Drive Balanced Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Nomura Research Institute from ¥6,142.50 to ¥6,335.00, citing improved growth prospects in financial platform services and a recovering industrial IT segment. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect shifting sentiment toward Nomura Research Institute, with a notable upgrade and revised price targets amid changing market and company dynamics.Narrative Update • Nov 06
4307: Financial Platform Momentum And Margin Gains Will Drive Balanced Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Nomura Research Institute from ¥6,059 to ¥6,143, citing improved profit margins and renewed growth in the company's financial platform services. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect a nuanced perspective on Nomura Research Institute's outlook amid ongoing changes in its business segments.Analysis Article • Nov 02
Analysts Are Updating Their Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. (TSE:4307) Estimates After Its Interim Results
Investors in Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. ( TSE:4307 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 4.0% to close at JP¥6,030...Analysis Article • Oct 27
Is Now The Time To Put Nomura Research Institute (TSE:4307) On Your Watchlist?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analysis Article • Oct 10
Investors Shouldn't Overlook The Favourable Returns On Capital At Nomura Research Institute (TSE:4307)
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world...Narrative Update • Sep 06
International Expansion Will Secure Future Revenue Stability
A slight upward revision in consensus revenue growth forecasts for Nomura Research Institute has led to a marginal increase in its analyst price target from ¥5,968 to ¥6,059. What's in the News Issued consolidated earnings guidance for fiscal year ending 31 March 2026: expects revenue of JPY 810,000 million, operating profit of JPY 150,000 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of JPY 104,000 million, and basic EPS of JPY 181.72.Analysis Article • Aug 06
Nomura Research Institute (TSE:4307) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ¥35.00
Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. ( TSE:4307 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 1st...
New Narrative • Feb 02
International Expansion Will Secure Future Revenue Stability
Strategic international expansion in Vietnam and the U.S. suggests potential for increased revenue and profit from diversified markets.Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2029 | 962,072 | 149,641 | 145,722 | 198,966 | 14 |
| 3/31/2028 | 910,787 | 136,500 | 130,106 | 183,532 | 15 |
| 3/31/2027 | 861,371 | 123,541 | 112,936 | 165,236 | 15 |
| 6/30/2026 | 829,393 | 18,471 | 114,871 | 160,201 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 814,708 | 15,257 | 101,330 | 147,641 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 798,901 | 105,168 | 95,215 | 143,423 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 785,100 | 101,674 | 94,818 | 145,208 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 772,473 | 97,596 | 97,066 | 147,245 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 764,813 | 93,762 | 80,594 | 130,196 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 754,782 | 90,345 | 91,051 | 137,863 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 751,269 | 87,634 | 86,608 | 132,928 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 747,957 | 84,599 | 84,736 | 130,875 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 736,556 | 79,643 | 92,480 | 142,277 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 726,125 | 82,367 | 87,803 | 142,094 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 715,176 | 78,112 | 68,933 | 126,232 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 701,337 | 74,755 | 67,690 | 126,042 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 692,165 | 76,307 | 64,198 | 118,899 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 679,746 | 72,164 | 48,501 | 101,155 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 658,714 | 70,789 | 60,549 | 109,710 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 636,524 | 71,796 | 56,801 | 103,438 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 611,634 | 71,445 | 55,160 | 98,137 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 593,818 | 62,389 | 69,402 | 107,219 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 576,011 | 63,353 | 67,894 | 101,143 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 561,830 | 58,662 | 64,376 | 94,018 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 550,337 | 52,867 | 55,569 | 84,594 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 542,794 | 58,464 | 50,655 | 78,822 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 536,020 | 54,410 | 54,719 | 82,439 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 530,532 | 67,647 | 61,359 | 89,031 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 528,873 | 69,276 | N/A | 102,787 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 524,724 | 66,686 | N/A | 97,800 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 519,989 | 68,882 | N/A | 84,892 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 512,980 | 54,063 | N/A | 98,442 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 501,243 | 50,931 | N/A | 56,349 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 496,951 | 49,691 | N/A | 62,294 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 491,681 | 44,710 | N/A | 71,831 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 482,610 | 56,597 | N/A | 41,056 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 471,488 | 55,145 | N/A | 73,493 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 457,616 | 50,087 | N/A | 59,311 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 441,597 | 49,598 | N/A | 59,528 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 430,793 | 44,374 | N/A | 71,161 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 424,548 | 45,064 | N/A | 61,147 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 416,351 | 51,014 | N/A | 71,375 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 412,266 | 51,365 | N/A | 67,756 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 420,309 | 43,734 | N/A | 75,948 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 421,439 | 42,648 | N/A | 81,470 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 418,823 | 37,148 | N/A | 72,200 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 420,976 | 35,600 | N/A | 72,532 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4307's forecast earnings growth (25.4% per year) is above the savings rate (0.9%).
Earnings vs Market: 4307's earnings (25.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the JP market (9.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 4307's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: 4307's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (6.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 4307's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 4307's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (26.6%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/06 07:54 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. is covered by 24 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Yuki Kaneko | BofA Global Research |
| Moriya Koketsu | Citigroup Inc |
| Morten Paulsen | CLSA |