Nomura Research Institute, Ltd.

TSE:4307 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥2.6t

Nomura Research Institute Valuation

Is 4307 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4307 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4307 (¥4649) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥3594.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4307 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4307?

Key metric: As 4307 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4307. This is calculated by dividing 4307's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4307's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.3x
EarningsJP¥87.63b
Market CapJP¥2.64t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4307's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4307 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.3x
4684 OBICLtd
34.2x7.7%JP¥2.1t
6701 NEC
23.9x13.3%JP¥3.5t
4768 Otsuka
27.2x6.8%JP¥1.4t
6702 Fujitsu
20.1x8.9%JP¥5.0t
4307 Nomura Research Institute
30.3x8.2%JP¥2.6t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4307 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the peer average (26.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4307's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP IT Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
4307 30.3xIndustry Avg. 18.4xNo. of Companies33PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4307 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the JP IT industry average (18.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4307's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4307 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.3x
Fair PE Ratio35.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4307 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4307 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,649.00
JP¥4,941.67
+6.3%
6.7%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,400.00n/a12
Dec ’25JP¥4,581.00
JP¥4,941.67
+7.9%
6.7%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,400.00n/a12
Nov ’25JP¥4,493.00
JP¥4,975.00
+10.7%
8.1%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,400.00n/a12
Oct ’25JP¥5,283.00
JP¥4,897.69
-7.3%
6.8%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,400.00n/a13
Sep ’25JP¥4,910.00
JP¥4,820.77
-1.8%
8.0%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,000.00n/a13
Aug ’25JP¥4,647.00
JP¥4,751.54
+2.2%
7.1%JP¥5,300.00JP¥4,000.00n/a13
Jul ’25JP¥4,551.00
JP¥4,678.46
+2.8%
7.9%JP¥5,100.00JP¥3,850.00n/a13
Jun ’25JP¥4,204.00
JP¥4,732.50
+12.6%
7.6%JP¥5,100.00JP¥3,850.00n/a12
May ’25JP¥3,916.00
JP¥4,724.62
+20.6%
6.9%JP¥5,100.00JP¥3,850.00n/a13
Apr ’25JP¥4,206.00
JP¥4,680.83
+11.3%
7.8%JP¥5,100.00JP¥3,800.00n/a12
Mar ’25JP¥4,220.00
JP¥4,680.83
+10.9%
7.8%JP¥5,100.00JP¥3,800.00n/a12
Feb ’25JP¥4,225.00
JP¥4,614.17
+9.2%
8.0%JP¥5,100.00JP¥3,800.00n/a12
Jan ’25JP¥4,101.00
JP¥4,480.83
+9.3%
6.7%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,800.00n/a12
Dec ’24JP¥4,145.00
JP¥4,405.38
+6.3%
8.8%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,581.0013
Nov ’24JP¥4,090.00
JP¥4,386.43
+7.2%
8.3%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,493.0014
Oct ’24JP¥3,893.00
JP¥4,429.29
+13.8%
8.4%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥5,283.0014
Sep ’24JP¥4,185.00
JP¥4,311.33
+3.0%
8.4%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,910.0015
Aug ’24JP¥4,100.00
JP¥4,185.00
+2.1%
11.7%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥4,647.0016
Jul ’24JP¥3,961.00
JP¥4,026.88
+1.7%
11.0%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥4,551.0016
Jun ’24JP¥3,610.00
JP¥3,983.13
+10.3%
10.8%JP¥4,600.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥4,204.0016
May ’24JP¥3,385.00
JP¥3,924.38
+15.9%
12.6%JP¥4,900.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥3,916.0016
Apr ’24JP¥3,065.00
JP¥3,928.75
+28.2%
12.5%JP¥4,900.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥4,206.0016
Mar ’24JP¥3,030.00
JP¥4,038.75
+33.3%
13.3%JP¥5,000.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥4,220.0016
Feb ’24JP¥3,090.00
JP¥4,169.38
+34.9%
10.0%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥4,225.0016
Jan ’24JP¥3,115.00
JP¥4,225.63
+35.7%
9.7%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥4,101.0016
Dec ’23JP¥3,015.00
JP¥4,269.38
+41.6%
10.5%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥4,145.0016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 08:43
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. is covered by 28 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yuki KanekoBofA Global Research
Mitsunobu TsuruoCitigroup Inc
null nullCLSA