Stock Analysis

CHANGE HoldingsInc (TSE:3962) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At ¥12.50

TSE:3962
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The board of CHANGE Holdings,Inc. (TSE:3962) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ¥12.50 on the 28th of June, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.0% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for CHANGE HoldingsInc

CHANGE HoldingsInc's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. However, prior to this announcement, CHANGE HoldingsInc's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 72.4% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 7.3% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
TSE:3962 Historic Dividend March 11th 2024

CHANGE HoldingsInc Is Still Building Its Track Record

The company has maintained a consistent dividend for a few years now, but we would like to see a longer track record before relying on it. Since 2022, the annual payment back then was ¥4.50, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥12.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 63% per annum over that time. CHANGE HoldingsInc has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. CHANGE HoldingsInc has impressed us by growing EPS at 72% per year over the past five years. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.

CHANGE HoldingsInc Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

Overall, we think this could be an attractive income stock, and it is only getting better by paying a higher dividend this year. The company is easily earning enough to cover its dividend payments and it is great to see that these earnings are being translated into cash flow. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for CHANGE HoldingsInc that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.