Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise Rakus Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:3923) Earnings Pushing Shares 35% Higher

TSE:3923
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The Rakus Co., Ltd. (TSE:3923) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 35%. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 2.7% isn't as impressive.

Following the firm bounce in price, Rakus' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 78.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 13x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Rakus has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Rakus

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:3923 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 1st 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Rakus will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Rakus' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 209% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 108% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 40% per year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.4% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Rakus' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Rakus' P/E?

The strong share price surge has got Rakus' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Rakus' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Rakus that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Rakus, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.