Getting In Cheap On Daiwa Computer Co., Ltd. (TSE:3816) Is Unlikely
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 13x in Japan, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Daiwa Computer Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:3816) P/E ratio of 14.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Daiwa Computer over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
View our latest analysis for Daiwa Computer
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Daiwa Computer, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Daiwa Computer's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Daiwa Computer's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.9% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 10% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Daiwa Computer is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Daiwa Computer revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Daiwa Computer that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Daiwa Computer's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3816
Daiwa Computer
Engages in the software development and service integration businesses in Japan and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.