Stock Analysis

Systems Engineering ConsultantsLTD's (TSE:3741) 30% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same three-year period

The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But in contrast you can make much more than 100% if the company does well. For instance the Systems Engineering Consultants Co.,LTD. (TSE:3741) share price is 107% higher than it was three years ago. That sort of return is as solid as granite. It's also up 18% in about a month.

Since it's been a strong week for Systems Engineering ConsultantsLTD shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for Systems Engineering ConsultantsLTD

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During three years of share price growth, Systems Engineering ConsultantsLTD achieved compound earnings per share growth of 20% per year. In comparison, the 27% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This indicates that the market is feeling more optimistic on the stock, after the last few years of progress. That's not necessarily surprising considering the three-year track record of earnings growth.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
TSE:3741 Earnings Per Share Growth January 2nd 2025

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

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What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Systems Engineering ConsultantsLTD the TSR over the last 3 years was 121%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Systems Engineering ConsultantsLTD shareholders are down 3.0% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 18%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 7% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. Before forming an opinion on Systems Engineering ConsultantsLTD you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.

But note: Systems Engineering ConsultantsLTD may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Japanese exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:3741

Systems Engineering ConsultantsLTD

A software development company, provides real-time software solutions in mobile networking, Internet technology, public infrastructure, space, robotics, and advanced technology fields in Japan.

Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.

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