David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Forside Co.,Ltd. (TYO:2330) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for ForsideLtd
What Is ForsideLtd's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 ForsideLtd had JP¥631.0m of debt, an increase on JP¥337.0m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥1.05b in cash, so it actually has JP¥415.0m net cash.
How Healthy Is ForsideLtd's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that ForsideLtd had liabilities of JP¥2.17b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥577.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥1.05b in cash and JP¥1.31b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total JP¥396.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given ForsideLtd has a market capitalization of JP¥3.61b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, ForsideLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is ForsideLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year ForsideLtd's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.
So How Risky Is ForsideLtd?
While ForsideLtd lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow JP¥102m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with ForsideLtd (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:2330
ForsideLtd
An investment holding company, engages in prize, real estate, content, and event businesses.
Proven track record slight.