Stock Analysis

Did You Miss CAICA's (TYO:2315) Impressive 112% Share Price Gain?

TSE:2315
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The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For example, the CAICA Inc. (TYO:2315) share price had more than doubled in just one year - up 112%. Better yet, the share price has gained 189% in the last quarter. On the other hand, longer term shareholders have had a tougher run, with the stock falling 19% in three years.

See our latest analysis for CAICA

Given that CAICA didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last year CAICA saw its revenue shrink by 21%. So we would not have expected the share price to rise 112%. It just goes to show the market doesn't always pay attention to the reported numbers. It's quite likely the revenue fall was already priced in, anyway.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
JASDAQ:2315 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 4th 2021

This free interactive report on CAICA's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that CAICA has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 112% in the last twelve months. That certainly beats the loss of about 9% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for CAICA you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on JP exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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