Stock Analysis

We Wouldn't Be Too Quick To Buy Sobal Corporation (TYO:2186) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend

TSE:2186
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Readers hoping to buy Sobal Corporation (TYO:2186) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. Investors can purchase shares before the 25th of February in order to be eligible for this dividend, which will be paid on the 22nd of May.

Sobal's next dividend payment will be JP¥16.00 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of JP¥32.00 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Sobal has a trailing yield of 3.4% on the current stock price of ¥947. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

View our latest analysis for Sobal

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Last year, Sobal paid out 106% of its income as dividends, which is above a level that we're comfortable with, especially if the company needs to reinvest in its business. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. It paid out more than half (72%) of its free cash flow in the past year, which is within an average range for most companies.

It's good to see that while Sobal's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see how much of its profit Sobal paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
JASDAQ:2186 Historic Dividend February 20th 2021

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. This is why it's a relief to see Sobal earnings per share are up 2.3% per annum over the last five years.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the past 10 years, Sobal has increased its dividend at approximately 25% a year on average. We're glad to see dividends rising alongside earnings over a number of years, which may be a sign the company intends to share the growth with shareholders.

To Sum It Up

Is Sobal an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? While earnings per share have been growing slowly, Sobal is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of its earnings. However it did pay out a lower percentage of its cashflow. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

With that being said, if you're still considering Sobal as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Sobal you should be aware of.

If you're in the market for dividend stocks, we recommend checking our list of top dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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