If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Furuya Metal (TYO:7826) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Furuya Metal is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.13 = JP¥3.9b ÷ (JP¥44b - JP¥14b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Thus, Furuya Metal has an ROCE of 13%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 11% generated by the Semiconductor industry.
View our latest analysis for Furuya Metal
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Furuya Metal compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Furuya Metal.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Furuya Metal Tell Us?
In terms of Furuya Metal's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last two years, returns on capital have decreased to 13% from 24% two years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 32%, which has impacted the ROCE. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. While the ratio isn't currently too high, it's worth keeping an eye on this because if it gets particularly high, the business could then face some new elements of risk.
Our Take On Furuya Metal's ROCE
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Furuya Metal. And the stock has done incredibly well with a 385% return over the last five years, so long term investors are no doubt ecstatic with that result. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
Furuya Metal does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:7826
Furuya Metal
Manufactures and sells industrial-use precious metal products and temperature sensors in Japan.
Very undervalued with excellent balance sheet.