Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd. (TSE:7516) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 6th of November to ¥65.00. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 3.5%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
Kohnan Shoji's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Kohnan Shoji was paying only paying out a fraction of earnings, but the payment was a massive 285% of cash flows. The business might be trying to strike a balance between returning cash to shareholders and reinvesting back into the business, but this high of a payout ratio could definitely force the dividend to be cut if the company runs into a bit of a tough spot.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 7.7% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 24%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
See our latest analysis for Kohnan Shoji
Kohnan Shoji Doesn't Have A Long Payment History
It is great to see that Kohnan Shoji has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. The annual payment during the last 8 years was ¥44.00 in 2017, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥130.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 15% per annum over that time. It is always nice to see strong dividend growth, but with such a short payment history we wouldn't be inclined to rely on it until a longer track record can be developed.
The Dividend Has Growth Potential
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. We are encouraged to see that Kohnan Shoji has grown earnings per share at 7.7% per year over the past five years. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.
Our Thoughts On Kohnan Shoji's Dividend
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While Kohnan Shoji is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, Kohnan Shoji has 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about. Is Kohnan Shoji not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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