Kurashicom's (TSE:7110) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit
The stock price didn't jump after Kurashicom Inc. (TSE:7110) posted decent earnings last week. We think that investors might be worried about some concerning underlying factors.
See our latest analysis for Kurashicom
A Closer Look At Kurashicom's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Kurashicom has an accrual ratio of 0.60 for the year to July 2024. Ergo, its free cash flow is significantly weaker than its profit. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, it produced free cash flow of JP¥579m during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of JP¥785.0m. Unfortunately, we don't have data on Kurashicom's free cash flow for the prior year; that's not necessarily a bad thing, though we do generally prefer to be able to see a bit of a company's history.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Kurashicom.
Our Take On Kurashicom's Profit Performance
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Kurashicom didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Kurashicom's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Be aware that Kurashicom is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Kurashicom's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7110
Excellent balance sheet and good value.