4017

Creema TSE:4017 Stock Report

Last Price

JP¥610.00

Market Cap

JP¥4.1b

7D

-1.5%

1Y

-75.9%

Updated

19 Aug, 2022

Data

Company Financials +
4017 fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

4017 Stock Overview

Creema Ltd. operates as an online marketplace for creators and consumers to sell and buy handmade products directly online in Japan.

Creema Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Creema
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceJP¥610.00
52 Week HighJP¥3,005.00
52 Week LowJP¥591.00
Beta0
1 Month Change-7.01%
3 Month Change-10.82%
1 Year Change-75.85%
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-88.49%

Recent News & Updates

Shareholder Returns

4017JP Online RetailJP Market
7D-1.5%3.1%1.0%
1Y-75.9%-27.4%4.5%

Return vs Industry: 4017 underperformed the JP Online Retail industry which returned -27.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: 4017 underperformed the JP Market which returned 4.5% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is 4017's price volatile compared to industry and market?
4017 volatility
4017 Average Weekly Movement6.5%
Online Retail Industry Average Movement6.2%
Market Average Movement3.7%
10% most volatile stocks in JP Market7.8%
10% least volatile stocks in JP Market2.0%

Stable Share Price: 4017 is more volatile than 75% of JP stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 7% a week.

Volatility Over Time: 4017's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of JP stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
200984Kotaro Marubayashihttps://www.creema.jp

Creema Ltd. operates as an online marketplace for creators and consumers to sell and buy handmade products directly online in Japan. The company helps users to find products in various categories, such as accessories and jewelry, plush toys and figurines, bags/backpacks, miscellaneous goods/stationeries, wallets/accessory cases, pet goods, iPhone/smartphone/pc cases, products for babies/kids, fashion items, wedding related products, furniture, products for men, interior miscellaneous goods, handmade materials, art products, food/liquor/drink items, and tableware/kitchen products. It also arranges exhibitions and events at permanent stores for creators.

Creema Fundamentals Summary

How do Creema's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
4017 fundamental statistics
Market CapJP¥4.08b
Earnings (TTM)JP¥134.00m
Revenue (TTM)JP¥2.28b

30.5x

P/E Ratio

1.8x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
4017 income statement (TTM)
RevenueJP¥2.28b
Cost of RevenueJP¥191.00m
Gross ProfitJP¥2.09b
Other ExpensesJP¥1.96b
EarningsJP¥134.00m

Last Reported Earnings

May 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

Oct 14, 2022

Earnings per share (EPS)20.02
Gross Margin91.63%
Net Profit Margin5.87%
Debt/Equity Ratio37.9%

How did 4017 perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison
We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Valuation

Is 4017 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4017?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4017 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8x
PEG Ratio0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4017's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

4017 PE Ratio vs Peers
The above table shows the PE ratio for 4017 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.9x
7134 Croooober
9xn/aJP¥3.8b
4380 M - mart
23.2xn/aJP¥4.2b
4487 Space Market
114xn/aJP¥4.3b
3059 HirakiLtd
13.3xn/aJP¥4.9b
4017 Creema
30.5x70.0%JP¥4.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4017 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x) compared to the peer average (39.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4017's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Online Retail Industry?

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4017 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x) compared to the JP Online Retail industry average (18.7x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4017's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4017 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.5x
Fair PE Ratio35.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4017 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.3x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4017 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4017 (¥610) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1288.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4017 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


Discover undervalued companies

Future Growth

How is Creema forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?

Future Growth Score

5/6

Future Growth Score 5/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


70.0%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4017's forecast earnings growth (70% per year) is above the savings rate (0.04%).

Earnings vs Market: 4017's earnings (70% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the JP market (8.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 4017's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 4017's revenue (33.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the JP market (4.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 4017's revenue (33.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if 4017's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Discover growth companies

Past Performance

How has Creema performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

2/6

Past Performance Score 2/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


92.6%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: 4017 has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: 4017's current net profit margins (5.9%) are lower than last year (8.8%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: 4017's earnings have grown significantly by 92.6% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: 4017's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: 4017 had negative earnings growth (-29.1%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Online Retail industry average (-13.8%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: 4017's Return on Equity (9.9%) is considered low.


Discover strong past performing companies

Financial Health

How is Creema's financial position?

Financial Health Score

5/6

Financial Health Score 5/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Debt Coverage

  • Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: 4017's short term assets (¥3.6B) exceed its short term liabilities (¥2.2B).

Long Term Liabilities: 4017's short term assets (¥3.6B) exceed its long term liabilities (¥336.0M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: 4017 has more cash than its total debt.

Reducing Debt: Insufficient data to determine if 4017's debt to equity ratio has reduced over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: 4017's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (76.7%).

Interest Coverage: 4017's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (27.4x coverage).


Balance Sheet


Discover healthy companies

Dividend

What is Creema current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Cash Flow Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate 4017's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate 4017's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if 4017's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if 4017's dividend payments have been increasing.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as 4017 has not reported any payouts.


Discover strong dividend paying companies

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

1.6yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Kotaro Marubayashi

no data

Tenure

Mr. Kotaro Marubayashi serves as President, Chief Executive Officer and Creative Director at Creema Ltd.


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: 4017's management team is not considered experienced ( 1.6 years average tenure), which suggests a new team.


Board Members

Experienced Board: 4017's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.6 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Creema Ltd.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Creema Ltd.
  • Ticker: 4017
  • Exchange: TSE
  • Founded: 2009
  • Industry: Internet and Direct Marketing Retail
  • Sector: Retail
  • Implied Market Cap: JP¥4.083b
  • Shares outstanding: 6.69m
  • Website: https://www.creema.jp

Number of Employees


Location

  • Creema Ltd.
  • 2-12-5 Kita-Aoyama
  • 2nd Floor
  • Tokyo
  • 107-0061
  • Japan

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/08/19 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/08/19 00:00
Earnings2022/05/31
Annual Earnings2022/02/28


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.