JINS HOLDINGS Inc. Just Missed EPS By 5.2%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Shareholders might have noticed that JINS HOLDINGS Inc. (TSE:3046) filed its third-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 7.7% to JP¥7,980 in the past week. Revenues of JP¥25b were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at JP¥107, missing estimates by 5.2%. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from JINS HOLDINGS' six analysts is for revenues of JP¥102.7b in 2026. This reflects a meaningful 9.7% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to expand 12% to JP¥374. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of JP¥102.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥372 in 2026. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for JINS HOLDINGS

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at JP¥9,743. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic JINS HOLDINGS analyst has a price target of JP¥10,900 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at JP¥8,260. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2026 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 7.7% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 8.7% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 6.4% per year. It's clear that while JINS HOLDINGS' revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on JINS HOLDINGS. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for JINS HOLDINGS going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You can also see our analysis of JINS HOLDINGS' Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.