Stock Analysis

Komehyo HoldingsLtd's (TSE:2780) Dividend Will Be Increased To ¥52.00

TSE:2780
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The board of Komehyo Holdings Co.,Ltd. (TSE:2780) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ¥52.00 on the 28th of November, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 2.3%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Komehyo HoldingsLtd

Komehyo HoldingsLtd's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, Komehyo HoldingsLtd was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 18.9%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 18%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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TSE:2780 Historic Dividend September 27th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from ¥22.00 total annually to ¥100.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16% a year over that time. Komehyo HoldingsLtd has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Komehyo HoldingsLtd has impressed us by growing EPS at 44% per year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Komehyo HoldingsLtd's payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We don't think Komehyo HoldingsLtd is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Komehyo HoldingsLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Komehyo HoldingsLtd not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.