Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Saftec Co.,Ltd. (TYO:7464) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for SaftecLtd
How Much Debt Does SaftecLtd Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that SaftecLtd had debt of JP¥2.95b at the end of December 2020, a reduction from JP¥3.25b over a year. But on the other hand it also has JP¥3.17b in cash, leading to a JP¥221.0m net cash position.
A Look At SaftecLtd's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that SaftecLtd had liabilities of JP¥4.22b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥1.76b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥3.17b as well as receivables valued at JP¥2.77b due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.
This state of affairs indicates that SaftecLtd's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the JP¥4.42b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, SaftecLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Also positive, SaftecLtd grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since SaftecLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. SaftecLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, SaftecLtd produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 80% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that SaftecLtd has JP¥221.0m in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of JP¥1.1b, being 80% of its EBIT. So is SaftecLtd's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with SaftecLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:7464
SaftecLtd
Provides safety products to the construction industry in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet 6 star dividend payer.