Advance Residence Investment Corporation

TSE:3269 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥410.7b

Advance Residence Investment Valuation

Is 3269 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3269 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3269 (¥286600) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥165946.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3269 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3269?

Key metric: As 3269 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3269. This is calculated by dividing 3269's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3269's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.2x
EarningsJP¥15.66b
Market CapJP¥410.70b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3269's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3269 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.9x
3226 Nippon Accommodations Fund
25.4x-0.8%JP¥288.0b
3278 Kenedix Residential Next Investment
24.8xn/aJP¥225.3b
3282 Comforia Residential REIT
24.1x1.5%JP¥210.6b
8986 Daiwa Securities Living Investment
17.3x-2.9%JP¥208.0b
3269 Advance Residence Investment
26.2x2.6%JP¥410.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3269 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.2x) compared to the peer average (22.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3269's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Residential REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3269 26.2xIndustry Avg. 25.8xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3269 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.2x) compared to the Global Residential REITs industry average (25.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3269's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3269 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.2x
Fair PE Ratio22.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3269 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3269 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥286,600.00
JP¥343,875.00
+20.0%
8.0%JP¥370,000.00JP¥278,000.00n/a8
Dec ’25JP¥295,000.00
JP¥343,625.00
+16.5%
8.2%JP¥370,000.00JP¥276,000.00n/a8
Nov ’25JP¥306,500.00
JP¥350,000.00
+14.2%
10.3%JP¥412,000.00JP¥276,000.00n/a8
Oct ’25JP¥331,000.00
JP¥350,625.00
+5.9%
10.5%JP¥412,000.00JP¥276,000.00n/a8
Sep ’25JP¥331,000.00
JP¥341,714.29
+3.2%
12.9%JP¥412,000.00JP¥253,000.00n/a7
Aug ’25JP¥315,000.00
JP¥341,714.29
+8.5%
12.9%JP¥412,000.00JP¥253,000.00n/a7
Jul ’25JP¥324,500.00
JP¥349,428.57
+7.7%
10.5%JP¥412,000.00JP¥284,000.00n/a7
Jun ’25JP¥323,500.00
JP¥351,285.71
+8.6%
10.3%JP¥412,000.00JP¥284,000.00n/a7
May ’25JP¥347,500.00
JP¥351,285.71
+1.1%
10.3%JP¥412,000.00JP¥284,000.00n/a7
Apr ’25JP¥334,000.00
JP¥350,571.43
+5.0%
10.2%JP¥412,000.00JP¥284,000.00n/a7
Mar ’25JP¥305,000.00
JP¥351,285.71
+15.2%
10.4%JP¥412,000.00JP¥280,000.00n/a7
Feb ’25JP¥319,000.00
JP¥351,285.71
+10.1%
10.4%JP¥412,000.00JP¥280,000.00n/a7
Jan ’25JP¥316,000.00
JP¥354,571.43
+12.2%
8.6%JP¥412,000.00JP¥303,000.00n/a7
Dec ’24JP¥324,000.00
JP¥355,500.00
+9.7%
8.0%JP¥412,000.00JP¥303,000.00JP¥295,000.008
Nov ’24JP¥327,000.00
JP¥355,500.00
+8.7%
8.0%JP¥412,000.00JP¥303,000.00JP¥306,500.008
Oct ’24JP¥339,000.00
JP¥346,555.56
+2.2%
6.7%JP¥387,000.00JP¥303,000.00JP¥331,000.009
Sep ’24JP¥351,000.00
JP¥342,666.67
-2.4%
9.2%JP¥387,000.00JP¥268,000.00JP¥331,000.009
Aug ’24JP¥343,000.00
JP¥339,750.00
-0.9%
9.6%JP¥387,000.00JP¥268,000.00JP¥315,000.008
Jul ’24JP¥344,000.00
JP¥339,750.00
-1.2%
9.6%JP¥387,000.00JP¥268,000.00JP¥324,500.008
Jun ’24JP¥347,500.00
JP¥335,625.00
-3.4%
9.4%JP¥387,000.00JP¥268,000.00JP¥323,500.008
May ’24JP¥350,500.00
JP¥332,500.00
-5.1%
8.2%JP¥362,000.00JP¥268,000.00JP¥347,500.008
Apr ’24JP¥316,500.00
JP¥345,111.11
+9.0%
4.6%JP¥372,000.00JP¥324,000.00JP¥334,000.009
Mar ’24JP¥327,500.00
JP¥353,555.56
+8.0%
5.0%JP¥375,000.00JP¥324,000.00JP¥305,000.009
Feb ’24JP¥319,000.00
JP¥357,333.33
+12.0%
4.4%JP¥375,000.00JP¥324,000.00JP¥319,000.009
Jan ’24JP¥339,000.00
JP¥359,333.33
+6.0%
4.4%JP¥375,000.00JP¥324,000.00JP¥316,000.009
Dec ’23JP¥338,500.00
JP¥359,333.33
+6.2%
4.4%JP¥375,000.00JP¥324,000.00JP¥324,000.009

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 23:37
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/07/31
Annual Earnings2024/07/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Advance Residence Investment Corporation is covered by 16 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Takashi HashimotoBarclays
Takashi HashimotoCitigroup Inc
Masahiro MochizukiCredit Suisse