Comforia Residential REIT, Inc

TSE:3282 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥214.0b

Comforia Residential REIT Valuation

Is 3282 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3282 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3282 (¥274100) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥296299.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3282 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3282?

Key metric: As 3282 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3282. This is calculated by dividing 3282's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3282's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.5x
EarningsJP¥8.75b
Market CapJP¥213.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3282's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3282 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.7x
8986 Daiwa Securities Living Investment
17.5x-2.9%JP¥211.8b
3278 Kenedix Residential Next Investment
24.8xn/aJP¥225.3b
3226 Nippon Accommodations Fund
25.8x-0.8%JP¥294.0b
3269 Advance Residence Investment
26.6x2.6%JP¥418.7b
3282 Comforia Residential REIT
24.5x1.5%JP¥214.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3282 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the peer average (23.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3282's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Residential REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3282 24.5xIndustry Avg. 26.3xNo. of Companies8PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3282 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the Global Residential REITs industry average (26.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3282's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3282 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.5x
Fair PE Ratio21.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3282 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3282 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥274,100.00
JP¥354,333.33
+29.3%
3.1%JP¥370,000.00JP¥345,000.00n/a3
Dec ’25JP¥288,300.00
JP¥354,333.33
+22.9%
3.1%JP¥370,000.00JP¥345,000.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥297,600.00
JP¥354,333.33
+19.1%
3.1%JP¥370,000.00JP¥345,000.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥321,000.00
JP¥365,000.00
+13.7%
6.8%JP¥390,000.00JP¥340,000.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥320,000.00
JP¥365,000.00
+14.1%
6.8%JP¥390,000.00JP¥340,000.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥312,000.00
JP¥365,000.00
+17.0%
6.8%JP¥390,000.00JP¥340,000.00n/a2
Jul ’25JP¥315,500.00
JP¥372,500.00
+18.1%
4.7%JP¥390,000.00JP¥355,000.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥321,000.00
JP¥372,500.00
+16.0%
4.7%JP¥390,000.00JP¥355,000.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥346,000.00
JP¥372,500.00
+7.7%
4.7%JP¥390,000.00JP¥355,000.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥326,000.00
JP¥345,000.00
+5.8%
2.4%JP¥355,000.00JP¥335,000.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥282,400.00
JP¥345,000.00
+22.2%
2.4%JP¥355,000.00JP¥335,000.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥302,500.00
JP¥345,000.00
+14.0%
2.4%JP¥355,000.00JP¥335,000.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥317,000.00
JP¥345,000.00
+8.8%
2.4%JP¥355,000.00JP¥335,000.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥315,500.00
JP¥345,000.00
+9.4%
2.4%JP¥355,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥288,300.003
Nov ’24JP¥320,500.00
JP¥345,000.00
+7.6%
2.4%JP¥355,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥297,600.003
Oct ’24JP¥331,500.00
JP¥338,333.33
+2.1%
1.4%JP¥345,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥321,000.003
Sep ’24JP¥342,000.00
JP¥332,333.33
-2.8%
1.1%JP¥335,000.00JP¥327,000.00JP¥320,000.003
Aug ’24JP¥338,000.00
JP¥332,333.33
-1.7%
1.1%JP¥335,000.00JP¥327,000.00JP¥312,000.003
Jul ’24JP¥345,000.00
JP¥332,333.33
-3.7%
1.1%JP¥335,000.00JP¥327,000.00JP¥315,500.003
Jun ’24JP¥331,500.00
JP¥332,333.33
+0.3%
1.1%JP¥335,000.00JP¥327,000.00JP¥321,000.003
May ’24JP¥338,500.00
JP¥332,333.33
-1.8%
1.1%JP¥335,000.00JP¥327,000.00JP¥346,000.003
Apr ’24JP¥315,500.00
JP¥332,333.33
+5.3%
1.1%JP¥335,000.00JP¥327,000.00JP¥326,000.003
Mar ’24JP¥306,500.00
JP¥340,000.00
+10.9%
2.1%JP¥350,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥282,400.003
Feb ’24JP¥287,500.00
JP¥342,500.00
+19.1%
2.2%JP¥350,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥302,500.002
Jan ’24JP¥296,600.00
JP¥342,500.00
+15.5%
2.2%JP¥350,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥317,000.002
Dec ’23JP¥310,000.00
JP¥342,500.00
+10.5%
2.2%JP¥350,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥315,500.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 13:17
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/25 00:00
Earnings2024/07/31
Annual Earnings2024/07/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Comforia Residential REIT, Inc is covered by 3 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Noritaka HoboDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Yosuke OhataMizuho Securities Co., Ltd.
Hiroshi ToriiSMBC NIKKO