Comforia Residential REIT, Inc

TSE:3282 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥228.3b

Comforia Residential REIT Valuation

Is 3282 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3282 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3282 (¥292500) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥244561.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3282 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3282?

Key metric: As 3282 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3282. This is calculated by dividing 3282's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3282's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.1x
EarningsJP¥8.75b
Market CapJP¥228.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3282's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3282 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24x
3278 Kenedix Residential Next Investment
24.8xn/aJP¥225.3b
8986 Daiwa Securities Living Investment
18.1xn/aJP¥217.8b
3226 Nippon Accommodations Fund
26.1x-0.8%JP¥295.5b
3269 Advance Residence Investment
27.2x2.6%JP¥425.2b
3282 Comforia Residential REIT
26.1x1.5%JP¥228.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3282 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.1x) compared to the peer average (23.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3282's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Residential REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3282 26.1xIndustry Avg. 26.3xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3282 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.1x) compared to the Global Residential REITs industry average (26.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3282's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3282 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.1x
Fair PE Ratio21.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3282 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3282 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥292,500.00
JP¥354,333.33
+21.1%
3.1%JP¥370,000.00JP¥345,000.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥297,600.00
JP¥354,333.33
+19.1%
3.1%JP¥370,000.00JP¥345,000.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥321,000.00
JP¥365,000.00
+13.7%
6.8%JP¥390,000.00JP¥340,000.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥320,000.00
JP¥365,000.00
+14.1%
6.8%JP¥390,000.00JP¥340,000.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥312,000.00
JP¥365,000.00
+17.0%
6.8%JP¥390,000.00JP¥340,000.00n/a2
Jul ’25JP¥315,500.00
JP¥372,500.00
+18.1%
4.7%JP¥390,000.00JP¥355,000.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥321,000.00
JP¥372,500.00
+16.0%
4.7%JP¥390,000.00JP¥355,000.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥346,000.00
JP¥372,500.00
+7.7%
4.7%JP¥390,000.00JP¥355,000.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥326,000.00
JP¥345,000.00
+5.8%
2.4%JP¥355,000.00JP¥335,000.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥282,400.00
JP¥345,000.00
+22.2%
2.4%JP¥355,000.00JP¥335,000.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥302,500.00
JP¥345,000.00
+14.0%
2.4%JP¥355,000.00JP¥335,000.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥317,000.00
JP¥345,000.00
+8.8%
2.4%JP¥355,000.00JP¥335,000.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥315,500.00
JP¥345,000.00
+9.4%
2.4%JP¥355,000.00JP¥335,000.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥320,500.00
JP¥345,000.00
+7.6%
2.4%JP¥355,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥297,600.003
Oct ’24JP¥331,500.00
JP¥338,333.33
+2.1%
1.4%JP¥345,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥321,000.003
Sep ’24JP¥342,000.00
JP¥332,333.33
-2.8%
1.1%JP¥335,000.00JP¥327,000.00JP¥320,000.003
Aug ’24JP¥338,000.00
JP¥332,333.33
-1.7%
1.1%JP¥335,000.00JP¥327,000.00JP¥312,000.003
Jul ’24JP¥345,000.00
JP¥332,333.33
-3.7%
1.1%JP¥335,000.00JP¥327,000.00JP¥315,500.003
Jun ’24JP¥331,500.00
JP¥332,333.33
+0.3%
1.1%JP¥335,000.00JP¥327,000.00JP¥321,000.003
May ’24JP¥338,500.00
JP¥332,333.33
-1.8%
1.1%JP¥335,000.00JP¥327,000.00JP¥346,000.003
Apr ’24JP¥315,500.00
JP¥332,333.33
+5.3%
1.1%JP¥335,000.00JP¥327,000.00JP¥326,000.003
Mar ’24JP¥306,500.00
JP¥340,000.00
+10.9%
2.1%JP¥350,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥282,400.003
Feb ’24JP¥287,500.00
JP¥342,500.00
+19.1%
2.2%JP¥350,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥302,500.002
Jan ’24JP¥296,600.00
JP¥342,500.00
+15.5%
2.2%JP¥350,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥317,000.002
Dec ’23JP¥310,000.00
JP¥342,500.00
+10.5%
2.2%JP¥350,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥315,500.002
Nov ’23JP¥317,500.00
JP¥340,000.00
+7.1%
2.1%JP¥350,000.00JP¥335,000.00JP¥320,500.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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