Stock Analysis

Is LAND (TSE:8918) Using Too Much Debt?

TSE:8918
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies LAND Co., Ltd. (TSE:8918) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for LAND

What Is LAND's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of May 2024 LAND had JP¥1.24b of debt, an increase on JP¥752.0m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥2.06b in cash, so it actually has JP¥823.0m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:8918 Debt to Equity History September 25th 2024

How Strong Is LAND's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that LAND had liabilities of JP¥1.59b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥737.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥2.06b as well as receivables valued at JP¥6.66b due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥6.39b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that LAND's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, LAND boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Importantly, LAND's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 46% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is LAND's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While LAND has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, LAND burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that LAND has net cash of JP¥823.0m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with LAND's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that LAND is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.