Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company, Limited's (TSE:8881) 26% Share Price Plunge

TSE:8881
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NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company, Limited (TSE:8881) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 13% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 12x and even P/E's above 19x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

For instance, NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:8881 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company?

NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 32% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 9.9% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we are not surprised that NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Final Word

The softening of NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is significant.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NISSHIN GROUP HOLDINGS Company might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.