Mitsubishi Estate Co., Ltd. (TSE:8802) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 30th of June to ¥22.00. This takes the annual payment to 2.0% of the current stock price, which is about average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Mitsubishi Estate
Mitsubishi Estate's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Prior to this announcement, Mitsubishi Estate's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 5.0%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 29% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥12.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥44.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 14% over that duration. Mitsubishi Estate has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see that Mitsubishi Estate has been growing its earnings per share at 12% a year over the past five years. Growth in EPS bodes well for the dividend, as does the low payout ratio that the company is currently reporting.
Our Thoughts On Mitsubishi Estate's Dividend
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Mitsubishi Estate's payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Mitsubishi Estate you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:8802
Mitsubishi Estate
Engages in the real estate activities in Japan and internationally.
Solid track record with mediocre balance sheet.
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