Stock Analysis

Rebase, Inc. (TSE:5138) Stocks Shoot Up 27% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

TSE:5138
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Rebase, Inc. (TSE:5138) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 7.8% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider Rebase as a stock to avoid entirely with its 21.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Rebase certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Rebase

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:5138 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 2nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Rebase's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Rebase's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Rebase would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 35% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 120% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 21% per year during the coming three years according to the lone analyst following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.4% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Rebase's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got Rebase's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Rebase maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Rebase you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Rebase. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.