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Urbanet CorporationLtd's (TSE:3242) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture
The subdued market reaction suggests that Urbanet Corporation Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:3242) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.
See our latest analysis for Urbanet CorporationLtd
Examining Cashflow Against Urbanet CorporationLtd's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to December 2024, Urbanet CorporationLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.30. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of JP¥11b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of JP¥981.0m. We saw that FCF was JP¥6.3b a year ago though, so Urbanet CorporationLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. The good news for shareholders is that Urbanet CorporationLtd's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Urbanet CorporationLtd.
Our Take On Urbanet CorporationLtd's Profit Performance
Urbanet CorporationLtd didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Urbanet CorporationLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 21% over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we've discovered 5 warning signs (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Urbanet CorporationLtd.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Urbanet CorporationLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3242
Urbanet CorporationLtd
Engages in the development and sale of real estate properties in Japan.
Moderate average dividend payer.
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