Stock Analysis

Central General Development's (TSE:3238) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

A lackluster earnings announcement from Central General Development Co., Ltd. (TSE:3238) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

We've discovered 6 warning signs about Central General Development. View them for free.
earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:3238 Earnings and Revenue History May 16th 2025
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Examining Cashflow Against Central General Development's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to March 2025, Central General Development had an accrual ratio of 0.26. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of JP¥8.6b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of JP¥497.0m. We also note that Central General Development's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of JP¥8.6b.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Central General Development.

Our Take On Central General Development's Profit Performance

Central General Development didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Central General Development's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 6 warning signs for Central General Development (4 are a bit unpleasant!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Central General Development's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:3238

Central General Development

Engages in the real estate business in Japan.

Established dividend payer with slight risk.

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