Hulic Co., Ltd.

TSE:3003 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥1.1t

Hulic Valuation

Is 3003 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3003 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3003 (¥1490.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥754.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3003 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3003?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

3003 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.3x
PEG Ratio2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3003's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3003 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.4x
8905 AEON Mall
20.1x15.7%JP¥411.3b
2337 Ichigo
15.2x6.7%JP¥184.8b
8848 Leopalace21
5.7x9.0%JP¥163.9b
8818 Keihanshin Building
20.4x-0.4%JP¥78.0b
3003 Hulic
12.8x5.3%JP¥1.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3003 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the peer average (15.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3003's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.7%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.7%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3003 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the JP Real Estate industry average (12.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3003's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3003 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.8x
Fair PE Ratio19.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3003 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3003 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,490.50
JP¥1,687.14
+13.2%
5.4%JP¥1,850.00JP¥1,580.00n/a7
Apr ’25JP¥1,555.50
JP¥1,663.75
+7.0%
6.0%JP¥1,850.00JP¥1,550.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥1,510.50
JP¥1,657.50
+9.7%
5.3%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,550.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥1,627.50
JP¥1,625.00
-0.2%
7.6%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,400.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥1,476.50
JP¥1,481.43
+0.3%
12.9%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,200.00n/a7
Dec ’24JP¥1,462.00
JP¥1,438.57
-1.6%
9.9%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,200.00n/a7
Nov ’24JP¥1,405.00
JP¥1,355.00
-3.6%
8.8%JP¥1,550.00JP¥1,200.00n/a8
Oct ’24JP¥1,341.00
JP¥1,316.25
-1.8%
7.4%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,200.00n/a8
Sep ’24JP¥1,314.50
JP¥1,316.25
+0.1%
7.4%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,200.00n/a8
Aug ’24JP¥1,219.50
JP¥1,282.50
+5.2%
6.4%JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,180.00n/a8
Jul ’24JP¥1,231.00
JP¥1,266.25
+2.9%
5.5%JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,180.00n/a8
Jun ’24JP¥1,181.00
JP¥1,253.75
+6.2%
4.0%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,180.00n/a8
May ’24JP¥1,168.00
JP¥1,253.75
+7.3%
4.0%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,180.00JP¥1,485.008
Apr ’24JP¥1,087.00
JP¥1,257.50
+15.7%
3.6%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,555.508
Mar ’24JP¥1,078.00
JP¥1,257.50
+16.7%
3.6%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,510.508
Feb ’24JP¥1,065.00
JP¥1,251.25
+17.5%
3.4%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,627.508
Jan ’24JP¥1,040.00
JP¥1,278.75
+23.0%
5.7%JP¥1,430.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,476.508
Dec ’23JP¥1,144.00
JP¥1,262.50
+10.4%
3.8%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,462.008
Nov ’23JP¥1,079.00
JP¥1,243.75
+15.3%
5.7%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,110.00JP¥1,405.008
Oct ’23JP¥1,063.00
JP¥1,236.25
+16.3%
5.8%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,110.00JP¥1,341.008
Sep ’23JP¥1,057.00
JP¥1,220.00
+15.4%
5.0%JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,110.00JP¥1,314.507
Aug ’23JP¥1,070.00
JP¥1,227.14
+14.7%
5.0%JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,110.00JP¥1,219.507
Jul ’23JP¥1,038.00
JP¥1,227.14
+18.2%
5.0%JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,110.00JP¥1,231.007
Jun ’23JP¥1,080.00
JP¥1,242.50
+15.0%
5.7%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,110.00JP¥1,181.008
May ’23JP¥1,098.00
JP¥1,242.50
+13.2%
5.7%JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,110.00JP¥1,168.008

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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