Improved Revenues Required Before Trans Genic Inc. (TSE:2342) Shares Find Their Feet
Trans Genic Inc.'s (TSE:2342) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 9.4x and even P/S above 52x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Trans Genic
How Trans Genic Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen firmly for Trans Genic recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Trans Genic will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Trans Genic's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Trans Genic's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. The latest three year period has also seen a 15% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 37% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Trans Genic is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Trans Genic's P/S?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Trans Genic confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Trans Genic that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Transgenic Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:2342
Transgenic Group
Develops, distributes, and licenses genetically modified animals and antibodies in Japan.
Mediocre balance sheet low.