Stock Analysis

Is Nintendo (TSE:7974) Turning Brand Collaborations Into a Durable Consumer Engagement Engine?

  • Ferrero’s Kinder Joy recently launched its Super Mario Collection in collaboration with Nintendo in the U.S., offering 26 different Super Mario-themed toys inside Kinder Joy eggs from December through April 2026.
  • The tie-up extends Nintendo’s Super Mario franchise more deeply into everyday snacking and collectibles, potentially reinforcing brand engagement among both families and nostalgic adult fans.
  • We’ll now look at how this Kinder Joy Super Mario collaboration, by deepening franchise engagement, could shape Nintendo’s broader investment narrative.

These 13 companies survived and thrived after COVID and have the right ingredients to survive Trump's tariffs. Discover why before your portfolio feels the trade war pinch.

Advertisement

What Is Nintendo's Investment Narrative?

To own Nintendo, you need to believe its core IP can keep pulling people back into the ecosystem across new hardware cycles, games and licensed products. The Kinder Joy Super Mario Collection fits neatly into that story: it will not move the needle on near term revenue by itself, but it extends Mario mindshare among kids and nostalgic adults at a time when Nintendo is preparing for the Switch 2 cycle and has just raised sales and profit guidance. That supports the near term catalyst of keeping engagement high ahead of new hardware and software launches. The bigger questions remain valuation, reliance on a few blockbuster franchises and whether earnings growth can justify a premium multiple after a strong multi‑year share price run.

But there is one concentration risk here that investors should not ignore. Nintendo's share price has been on the slide but might be up to 27% below fair value. Find out if it's a bargain.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSE:7974 1-Year Stock Price Chart
TSE:7974 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Five fair value views from the Simply Wall St Community range widely, from around ¥8,277 to almost ¥19,594, showing how differently individual investors see Nintendo’s upside. Set against recent guidance upgrades and expanding brand partnerships like Kinder Joy, that spread underlines why it can be useful to weigh several independent views before forming expectations about the company’s future performance.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Nintendo - why the stock might be worth as much as 65% more than the current price!

Build Your Own Nintendo Narrative

Disagree with this assessment? Create your own narrative in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

Contemplating Other Strategies?

Every day counts. These free picks are already gaining attention. See them before the crowd does:

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nintendo might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About TSE:7974

Nintendo

Develops, manufactures, and sells home entertainment products in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.7% undervalued
74 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative
RO
Robbo
FID logo
Robbo on Fiducian Group ·

Fiducian: Compliance Clouds or Value Opportunity?

Fair Value:AU$121.2% undervalued
13 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
WO
WVVI logo
woodworthfund on Willamette Valley Vineyards ·

Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI): Not-So-Great Value

Fair Value:US$245.0% overvalued
11 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

NO
S5L logo
Norms70 on Standard Lithium ·

SLI is share to watch next 5 years

Fair Value:€4.59.8% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
DA
davidlsander
BEAM logo
davidlsander on Beam Therapeutics ·

The "Molecular Pencil": Why Beam's Technology is Built to Win

Fair Value:US$15081.9% undervalued
59 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
RE
PRME logo
RedhawkCC on Prime Medicine ·

PRME remains a long shot but publication in the New England Journal of Medicine helps.

Fair Value:US$0.0469.1k% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
118 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3925.9% undervalued
962 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.7% undervalued
74 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative