Stock Analysis

Avex (TSE:7860) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥25.00

TSE:7860
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Avex Inc. (TSE:7860) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥25.00 per share on the 9th of June. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 4.0%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Avex

Avex's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, the dividend made up 130% of earnings, and the company was generating negative free cash flows. This high of a dividend payment could start to put pressure on the balance sheet in the future.

If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 7.6% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 136%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
TSE:7860 Historic Dividend March 12th 2025

Avex Has A Solid Track Record

The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. The payments haven't really changed that much since 10 years ago. Slow and steady dividend growth might not sound that exciting, but dividends have been stable for ten years, which we think makes this a fairly attractive offer.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. In the last five years, Avex's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 7.6% per annum. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Avex's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. We can't deny that the payments have been very stable, but we are a little bit worried about the very high payout ratio. We don't think Avex is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Avex has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about. Is Avex not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.