Stock Analysis

We Think HYOJITO's (TSE:7368) Solid Earnings Are Understated

TSE:7368
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HYOJITO Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:7368) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last week. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

Check out our latest analysis for HYOJITO

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:7368 Earnings and Revenue History November 25th 2024

A Closer Look At HYOJITO's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

HYOJITO has an accrual ratio of -0.80 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of JP¥938m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of JP¥499.0m. HYOJITO's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of HYOJITO.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

HYOJITO's profit was reduced by unusual items worth JP¥177m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect HYOJITO to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On HYOJITO's Profit Performance

In conclusion, both HYOJITO's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. After considering all this, we reckon HYOJITO's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! If you'd like to know more about HYOJITO as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, HYOJITO has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

Our examination of HYOJITO has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HYOJITO might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.