Stock Analysis

JP¥6,900: That's What Analysts Think Macbee Planet, Inc. (TSE:7095) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

TSE:7095
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Shareholders might have noticed that Macbee Planet, Inc. (TSE:7095) filed its third-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 6.6% to JP¥2,836 in the past week. It was a workmanlike result, with revenues of JP¥14b coming in 3.0% ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share of JP¥159, in line with analyst appraisals. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

View our latest analysis for Macbee Planet

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TSE:7095 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 17th 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Macbee Planet's three analysts is for revenues of JP¥64.1b in 2026. This would reflect a sizeable 31% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to shoot up 74% to JP¥288. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of JP¥63.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥308 in 2026. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.

The average price target fell 16% to JP¥6,900, with reduced earnings forecasts clearly tied to a lower valuation estimate. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Macbee Planet analyst has a price target of JP¥7,500 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at JP¥6,300. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Macbee Planet is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Macbee Planet's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 24% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 48% over the past three years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 4.2% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Macbee Planet's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Macbee Planet. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Macbee Planet's future valuation.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Macbee Planet going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Macbee Planet that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.