Stock Analysis

Orchestra Holdings' (TSE:6533) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Orchestra Holdings Inc.'s (TSE:6533) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥12.00 on 27th of March. Even though the dividend went up, the yield is still quite low at only 1.6%.

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Orchestra Holdings' Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. The last dividend was quite easily covered by Orchestra Holdings' earnings. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

Looking forward, could fall by 13.1% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If recent patterns in the dividend continue, we could see the payout ratio reaching 87% in the next 12 months which is on the higher end of the range we would say is sustainable.

historic-dividend
TSE:6533 Historic Dividend August 18th 2025

Check out our latest analysis for Orchestra Holdings

Orchestra Holdings Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

It is great to see that Orchestra Holdings has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥4.00 in 2018 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥12.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 17% a year over that time. We're not overly excited about the relatively short history of dividend payments, however the dividend is growing at a nice rate and we might take a closer look.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. However, things aren't all that rosy. Orchestra Holdings' earnings per share has shrunk at 13% a year over the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.

Our Thoughts On Orchestra Holdings' Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Orchestra Holdings' payments are rock solid. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Orchestra Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.