Stock Analysis

Orchestra Holdings' (TSE:6533) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

TSE:6533
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Orchestra Holdings Inc. (TSE:6533) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 31st of March to ¥11.00. This takes the annual payment to 1.3% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.

See our latest analysis for Orchestra Holdings

Orchestra Holdings' Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Before making this announcement, Orchestra Holdings was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 9.6% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 23% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
TSE:6533 Historic Dividend November 14th 2024

Orchestra Holdings Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

The dividend's track record has been pretty solid, but with only 6 years of history we want to see a few more years of history before making any solid conclusions. Since 2018, the dividend has gone from ¥4.00 total annually to ¥11.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 18% over that duration. Orchestra Holdings has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Orchestra Holdings has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 9.6% per annum. With a decent amount of growth and a low payout ratio, we think this bodes well for Orchestra Holdings' prospects of growing its dividend payments in the future.

Orchestra Holdings Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

Overall, we think this could be an attractive income stock, and it is only getting better by paying a higher dividend this year. Earnings are easily covering distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 3 warning signs for Orchestra Holdings that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.