RAKUMACHI,Inc.'s (TSE:6037) Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Simply Wall St

When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider RAKUMACHI,Inc. (TSE:6037) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 20.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

The earnings growth achieved at RAKUMACHIInc over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

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TSE:6037 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 9th 2025
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How Is RAKUMACHIInc's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, RAKUMACHIInc would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 24% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 6.8% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 7.8% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that RAKUMACHIInc is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that RAKUMACHIInc currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for RAKUMACHIInc that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on RAKUMACHIInc, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if RAKUMACHIInc might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.