COVER Corporation

TSE:5253 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥94.5b

COVER Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 1/6

COVER has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 22.1%, while the Entertainment industry saw earnings growing at 7.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 28.1% per year. COVER's return on equity is 15.1%, and it has net margins of 6.1%.

Key information

22.15%

Earnings growth rate

20.78%

EPS growth rate

Entertainment Industry Growth17.91%
Revenue growth rate28.06%
Return on equity15.11%
Net Margin6.11%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Analysis Article May 22

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past COVER's (TSE:5253) Soft Earnings

COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price...
Analysis Article Nov 20

There Are Some Holes In COVER's (TSE:5253) Solid Earnings Release

Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...

Recent updates

Analysis Article May 22

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past COVER's (TSE:5253) Soft Earnings

COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price...
Narrative Update May 21

(Reissued due to editing errors in previous update)

(Fair Value adjusted to 13%, matching in-line with company Net Revenue forecast and accounting for a conservative outlook due to current headwinds.) Multi-model Intrinsic Value estimates: EPV: ¥1291 EV/EBITDA (Relative): ¥1480 P/E (Relative): ¥1150 DCF - EBITDA Exit: ¥2280 DCF - Growth Exit: ¥3640 Major headwinds: Rebounding by salvaging applicable technology from HoloEarth Reallocation of resources, staff or evaluation of necessary workforce reduction SG&A Continues to grow as management believes more talent managers and support staff or needed to make their talent more productive. Several new labor laws and standards came into effect in 2026 directly affecting Entrusted Business Operators (AKA the talent/VTubers) - These laws require companies be in compliance and in some cases, significantly their signed agreements which can significantly affect future terms and agreements made with the company.
Narrative Update May 18

Large 1 time write downs clears FY27 and F28 for refocused direction

(Fair Value adjusted to 13%, matching in-line with company Net Revenue forecast and accounting for a conservative outlook due to current headwinds.) Multi-model Intrinsic Value estimates: EPV: ¥1291 EV/EBITDA (Relative): ¥1480 P/E (Relative): ¥1150 DCF - EBITDA Exit: ¥2280 DCF - Growth Exit: ¥3640 Major headwinds: Rebounding by salvaging applicable technology from HoloEarth Reallocation of resources, staff or evaluation of necessary workforce reduction SG&A Continues to grow as management believes more talent managers and support staff or needed to make their talent more productive. Several new labor laws and standards came into effect in 2026 directly affecting Entrusted Business Operators (AKA the talent/VTubers) - These laws require companies be in compliance and in some cases, significantly their signed agreements which can significantly affect future terms and agreements made with the company.
New Narrative May 14

Significant headwinds will temper expectations for FY2027

12-month forecast for 2026-2027: 1150-1480 Yen a share DCF 5 year Exit forecast: 2280-3640 Yen a share Cover Corporation's annual fiscal report was soul crushing as missteps from management, wasted production time and unfocused effort all led to a significant amount of waste in workloads and investment potential. Cover's "Metaverse" project with HoloEarth is officially dead in the water and will be discontinued after spending over 3 Billion Yen in development/support costs over the past 2 1/2 years.
Analysis Article Nov 20

There Are Some Holes In COVER's (TSE:5253) Solid Earnings Release

Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...
Analysis Article Jun 12

Here's Why We Think COVER (TSE:5253) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analysis Article May 21

COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings Are Built On Soft Foundations

Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...
Analysis Article Apr 30

Capital Investments At COVER (TSE:5253) Point To A Promising Future

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...
Analysis Article Apr 08

What You Can Learn From COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E After Its 25% Share Price Crash

COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25...
Analysis Article Nov 19

We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings

Following the solid earnings report from COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ), the market responded by bidding up the stock...
Analysis Article Aug 12

The Price Is Right For COVER Corporation (TSE:5253) Even After Diving 29%

COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...
Analysis Article Jun 24

COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 31% Share Price Bounce

Those holding COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the...
Analysis Article May 14

With EPS Growth And More, COVER (TSE:5253) Makes An Interesting Case

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analysis Article Apr 21

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) 26% Share Price Plunge

COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26...
Analysis Article Apr 16

COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 68% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, COVER fair value estimate is JP¥3,193 COVER's JP¥1,905 share...
Analysis Article Mar 07

COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.1x COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) may be sending very bearish signals...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How COVER makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

TSE:5253 Revenue, expenses and earnings (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 2649,3303,01616,4500
31 Dec 2549,2195,70916,2660
30 Sep 2548,0515,43815,5170
30 Jun 2546,6145,63214,7650
31 Mar 2543,4015,55913,3200
31 Dec 2439,8045,28912,0540
30 Sep 2434,9944,60010,3340
30 Jun 2431,4404,1369,0370
31 Mar 2430,1664,1378,2850
31 Dec 2326,8743,8527,5090
31 Mar 2320,4512,5085,8850
31 Mar 2213,6631,2443,4190
31 Mar 215,7241,2201,0780

Quality Earnings: 5253 has a large one-off loss of ¥3.2B impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.

Growing Profit Margin: 5253's current net profit margins (6.1%) are lower than last year (12.8%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: 5253's earnings have grown significantly by 22.1% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: 5253's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: 5253 had negative earnings growth (-45.7%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Entertainment industry average (13.2%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: 5253's Return on Equity (15.1%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


Discover strong past performing companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/19 07:35
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/19 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2026/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

COVER Corporation is covered by 7 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kazuki SakaguchiDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Norihiro MiyazakiGoldman Sachs
Yasuyoshi MimuraIchiyoshi Research Institute Inc.