CyberAgent, Inc.

TSE:4751 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥498.1b

CyberAgent Valuation

Is 4751 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4751 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4751 (¥983.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1441.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4751 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4751?

Key metric: As 4751 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4751. This is calculated by dividing 4751's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4751's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.5x
EarningsJP¥16.25b
Market CapJP¥498.09b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4751's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4751 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.4x
2433 Hakuhodo DY Holdings
16x7.0%JP¥415.7b
4293 Septeni Holdings
35.1x16.6%JP¥88.8b
4326 INTAGE HOLDINGS
17.3x-4.2%JP¥59.4b
6058 Vector
9.1x9.6%JP¥44.4b
4751 CyberAgent
30.7x14.7%JP¥498.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4751 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the peer average (19.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4751's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
4751 31.5xIndustry Avg. 15.6xNo. of Companies13PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4751 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the JP Media industry average (15.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4751's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4751 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.5x
Fair PE Ratio25.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4751 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4751 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,012.00
JP¥1,164.67
+15.1%
9.4%JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,000.00n/a15
Nov ’25JP¥1,019.00
JP¥1,160.67
+13.9%
9.2%JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,000.00n/a15
Oct ’25JP¥1,022.00
JP¥1,154.00
+12.9%
10.5%JP¥1,400.00JP¥980.00n/a15
Sep ’25JP¥1,010.50
JP¥1,163.13
+15.1%
10.6%JP¥1,400.00JP¥980.00n/a16
Aug ’25JP¥1,004.50
JP¥1,163.13
+15.8%
10.6%JP¥1,400.00JP¥980.00n/a16
Jul ’25JP¥987.60
JP¥1,155.00
+17.0%
10.2%JP¥1,370.00JP¥980.00n/a16
Jun ’25JP¥945.50
JP¥1,140.00
+20.6%
12.1%JP¥1,370.00JP¥880.00n/a17
May ’25JP¥982.40
JP¥1,148.82
+16.9%
11.4%JP¥1,370.00JP¥880.00n/a17
Apr ’25JP¥1,090.50
JP¥1,115.29
+2.3%
12.3%JP¥1,350.00JP¥880.00n/a17
Mar ’25JP¥1,042.00
JP¥1,050.00
+0.8%
16.8%JP¥1,350.00JP¥720.00n/a16
Feb ’25JP¥994.50
JP¥993.75
-0.08%
13.2%JP¥1,200.00JP¥720.00n/a16
Jan ’25JP¥885.10
JP¥980.63
+10.8%
13.6%JP¥1,300.00JP¥710.00n/a16
Dec ’24JP¥866.80
JP¥986.88
+13.9%
13.4%JP¥1,300.00JP¥710.00n/a16
Nov ’24JP¥807.60
JP¥983.75
+21.8%
13.8%JP¥1,300.00JP¥670.00JP¥1,019.0016
Oct ’24JP¥806.30
JP¥1,073.13
+33.1%
23.2%JP¥1,800.00JP¥670.00JP¥1,022.0016
Sep ’24JP¥931.40
JP¥1,098.13
+17.9%
22.2%JP¥1,800.00JP¥670.00JP¥1,010.5016
Aug ’24JP¥913.00
JP¥1,216.47
+33.2%
18.9%JP¥1,800.00JP¥890.00JP¥1,004.5017
Jul ’24JP¥1,048.00
JP¥1,268.13
+21.0%
17.2%JP¥1,800.00JP¥890.00JP¥987.6016
Jun ’24JP¥984.00
JP¥1,280.75
+30.2%
16.8%JP¥1,800.00JP¥890.00JP¥945.5016
May ’24JP¥1,180.00
JP¥1,291.38
+9.4%
16.5%JP¥1,800.00JP¥910.00JP¥982.4016
Apr ’24JP¥1,115.00
JP¥1,325.13
+18.8%
16.5%JP¥1,800.00JP¥910.00JP¥1,090.5016
Mar ’24JP¥1,139.00
JP¥1,360.80
+19.5%
14.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥1,042.0015
Feb ’24JP¥1,204.00
JP¥1,390.75
+15.5%
13.9%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥994.5016
Jan ’24JP¥1,168.00
JP¥1,428.13
+22.3%
13.7%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥885.1016
Dec ’23JP¥1,239.00
JP¥1,440.63
+16.3%
12.0%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥866.8016
Nov ’23JP¥1,225.00
JP¥1,496.47
+22.2%
15.8%JP¥2,080.00JP¥1,060.00JP¥807.6017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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