Stock Analysis

Septeni Holdings (TSE:4293) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

TSE:4293
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Septeni Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4293) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 28th of March to ¥31.35. This takes the dividend yield to 6.9%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

View our latest analysis for Septeni Holdings

Septeni Holdings' Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before making this announcement, Septeni Holdings was paying a whopping 125% as a dividend, but this only made up 20% of its overall earnings. A cash payout ratio this high could put the dividend under pressure and force the company to reduce it in the future if it were to run into tough times.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 15.3%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could get very high, which probably can't continue without starting to put some pressure on the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
TSE:4293 Historic Dividend December 3rd 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥1.40 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥31.35. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 36% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Septeni Holdings has impressed us by growing EPS at 30% per year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.

Our Thoughts On Septeni Holdings' Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Septeni Holdings' payments are rock solid. While Septeni Holdings is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Septeni Holdings that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.